Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

[Samsara]

Quote from MAESTRO:

And how do you know that the Big Bang had really happened? This theory only represents our current state of beliefs. 200 years ago people would get burnt at stake for these words. What do you think will happen in 200 years from now? Would the "cause" of all existence be different? Knowledge is a relative thing, so stating causality is a fruitless exercise. However, understanding the properties of any physical phenomena without limiting yourself to any specific cause is a very progressive way of research.

Right, I take back the correspondence theory dig. Hats off to you.

 

[intradaybill]

Quote from MAESTRO:

However, understanding the properties of any physical phenomena without limiting yourself to any specific cause is a very progressive way of research.

How is that progressive? How progressive is it to understand the phenomenon of water freezing without understanding its cause?

Your position has been abandoned long ago by the majority of scientists. If they adhered to your position they wouldn't be looking for the Higg's boson as the cause of mass formation.

You have to realize that knowing the properties of phenomena is not nearly enough to know when these phenomena will emerge. You have to know the causes, although not their ultimate cause. If you don't know the causes, you may know how hard something hit you but not why it hit you.

Are you a priest by the way? Historically, religion prohibited scientists from looking into causes. I wouldn't be surprised to know that your are a Catholic priest.

 

[beginnerjohn]

Good to see you back Maestro !

I hope your health is also going well for you.

All the best
John

Quote from MAESTRO:

And how do you know that the Big Bang had really happened? This theory only represents our current state of beliefs. 200 years ago people would get burnt at stake for these words. What do you think will happen in 200 years from now? Would the "cause" of all existence be different? Knowledge is a relative thing, so stating causality is a fruitless exercise. However, understanding the properties of any physical phenomena without limiting yourself to any specific cause is a very progressive way of research.

 

[SrRuthenate]

Quote from MAESTRO:

It is so refreshing to know that majority of people out there are still clueless! I thought that within past 3 - 4 years some of you here could have learned a bit about the subject since so much of the new research results became readily available. I was even worried about possible competition! But, no, still the same dark, uneducated, low-level crowd! Thank you so much for your ignorance. I can still be comfortable in doing my research knowing that majority of you still thinks that the Earth is flat (well, yeah, otherwise all the rivers would just slip away!) Excellent! Animal-like desire for identifying the patterns (whether they exist or not) is the only straw that you grab on to; it's the only comfort that you can provide to yourself without understanding the real picture. Causality is a drug! Accepting the fact that majority of things happen without any cause would be not suitable for our egocentric minds! That is why you always need to know "what happened?" in order to justify your post factious decision making. And you are instantly satisfied if someone explained to you that "the markets sold off on the European worries!" Planet of the Apes indeed!

Cheers,
MAESTRO

Monkey see. Monkey do?. How's that arcsin law working for ya?.

 

[MAESTRO]

Quote from beginnerjohn:

Good to see you back Maestro !

I hope your health is also going well for you.

All the best
John

Thank you for your warm words. It has been a battle! I am much better these days and happy to be back. Thank you for remembering me! I will do my best to encourage people to think and educate themselves. I will also cautiously share what ever I can. Thank you again!

Cheers,
MAESTRO

 

[MAESTRO]

Quote from SrRuthenate:

Monkey see. Monkey do?. How's that arcsin law working for ya?.

Pretty good, actually. Thank you for asking. I also have collected what I consider an "overwhelming evidence" of market randomness and have managed to create the space converters that could normalize any market to fairly stable distributed stochastic processes. it's going really well! I am more pleased with a few discoveries that we have made recently then I have ever been before!

Cheers
MAESTRO

 

[SrRuthenate]

Quote from MAESTRO:

Pretty good, actually. Thank you for asking. I also have collected what I consider and "overwhelming evidence" of market randomness and have managed to create the space converters that could normalize any market to fairly stable distributed stochastic processes. it's going really well! I am more pleased with a few discoveries that we have made recently then I have ever been before!

Cheers
MAESTRO

Mastered the meander law for the exits yet?.

 

[MAESTRO]

Quote from intradaybill:

How is that progressive? How progressive is it to understand the phenomenon of water freezing without understanding its cause?

Your position has been abandoned long ago by the majority of scientists. If they adhered to your position they wouldn't be looking for the Higg's boson as the cause of mass formation.

You have to realize that knowing the properties of phenomena is not nearly enough to know when these phenomena will emerge. You have to know the causes, although not their ultimate cause. If you don't know the causes, you may know how hard something hit you but not why it hit you.

Are you a priest by the way? Historically, religion prohibited scientists from looking into causes. I wouldn't be surprised to know that your are a Catholic priest.

Well, could you please explain to all of us when does exactly water freeze and why? You would be the first one to do so. Did yo know that the theory of the matter state changes has been evolving probably more rapidly than any other branches of physics?

Also, My point was that regardless of our current state of understanding water will freeze; We can experiment and make reasonable predictions for various conditions of how and when the actual freezing will occur without idolizing our current state of knowledge with regards of "why". Any model that we put forward is doomed to be an inaccurate one and the progress of mankind will prompt the thinkers to change the model to better reflect our current state of development. However, if one accepts the secondary nature of causality it will enable him/her to work outside the constraints put forward by current commonly accepted models.

Cheers,

MAESTRO

 

[MAESTRO]

Quote from SrRuthenate:

Mastered the meander law for the exits yet?.

I wouldn't say we "mastered" it, however, there has been a significant progress in this direction.

 

[SrRuthenate]

After all that research. Do you still believe prices are "randomly" distributed, and that RTM "works" for anything other than trivial size?. What are your current beliefs regarding "randomness"?.

I have an hypothesis that random does not exist in nature or the markets, but I have not proven it yet.