Quote from rcanfiel:
...Anecdotal evidence is an informal account of evidence in the form of an anecdote or hearsay. The term is often used in contrast to scientific evidence, such as evidence-based medicine, which are types of formal accounts. Some anecdotal evidence does not qualify as scientific evidence because its nature prevents it from being investigated using the scientific method. Misuse of anecdotal evidence is a logical fallacy and is sometimes informally referred to as the "person who" fallacy ("I know a person who..."; "I know of a case where..." etc. Compare with hasty generalization). Anecdotal evidence is not necessarily typical; statistical evidence can more accurately determine how typical something is.
Once you learn the following you'll realize everything is mute:
* Best evidence of anything with value is a long term profitable brokerage statement that's been verified.
* It doesn't matter if its science or art so get over it.
What matters is can it be useful or not.
* TA or entry signals used by profitable traders are not the only tools profitable traders use.
You seem to be approaching your debate as if TA is the ONLY thing that matters therefore lets ONLY TEST TA.
Wrong approach to why TA is of value to profitable traders with verified trading records and wrong approach because to test the value of TA you MUST test all the other variables being used with TA.
Simply, the market just doesn't work the way you TEST it.
In addition, your testing of TA is similar to the approach in TA by losing traders...
That's the flaw in your testing.
Further, there are many variables involved in the markets and profitable trading.
Thus, to single out one variable called TA because its a heavily marketable tool by data vendors is just a waste of time and energy.
Simply, you seem to believe that if something has value or believe to have value...
Lets test it by itself to determine its true worth.
That's not a good scientific approach considering many well known things in science have value via synergistic relationships (e.g. drugs, genetics, chemistry, muscles and even traders collaborating)...
Therefore, the value of TA involves its synergistic relationship with other aspects of trading.
The simultaneous joint action of separate variables which, together, have greater total effect than the sum of their individual effects.
That's the point profitable traders using TA are trying to get you to understand.
Once again, stop trying to isolate a variable that profitable traders using TA within their trading plan.
You'll be much better off via trying to determine and apply those other variables that profitable traders use that gives TA its value or vice versa.
With that said, can you explain what scientific evidence you have when you said the following that trendlines and s/r levels have value.
Quote from rcanfiel:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
PROS:
Probable that only things like support/resistance & trendlines have value.
CONS:
This is a large & complex belief system, that in spite of very significant tested evidence to the contrary, absolutely does not work.
Adherents rise up in defense of their faith, making this more of a religion than anything else.
Their statement of faith usually resembles "you have to know how to apply it" or "you have to combine indicators" or "you have to know when to apply it."
Mark