...Weather can be predicted fairly accurate for 1 week or even longer. They use past data to predict...
They also rely heavily on present atmospheric weather patterns and data to go with that past data information and then they make an
"educated guess" about the future weather. Yes, they have a very high prediction accuracy.
How accurate are their prediction models...depending upon where you live in the world...it can be as high as 80% up to a 9 Day Forecast...accuracy begins dropping beyond 9 Days.
Note: I got the above info from last year when I helped one of my kids do a class project when we interviewed 3 different meteorologists from different countries.
It started me to think about things involving trading. Most retail traders using TA will put most of their use of TA on past data...while some put emphasis on current (real-time) data and some do both.
Makes me wonder if there's ever been any studies that compare TA based solely on historical data versus TA based solely on present (current/real-time) data. Something to think about.
yes. peter brandt runs a sizeable fund. verified 40 per cent pa over decades. uses exclusively old school ta, edwards and magee stuff.
i only needed one example to destroy the ta doesnt work hypothesis. i have provided this.
my work is done...
Peter Brandt name has been used many times before in the past about these debates that banks, institutions, hedge funds do use TA as part of the decision process.
The bashers always dismissed him (an audited trader/manager) via the following reasons that I can remember in past debates:
1) His fund isn't large enough
2) His TA use was when he was a commodities trader and not as a Hedge Fund.
Note: Top institutions today still purchase his advice...some advice includes technical analysis. I heard about this several years back and then one day last year I was having lunch with an institutional trading friend in Paris...sitting on his desk was a private report from Peter Brandt...a report with lots of charts that his institutional trading firm subscribes to.
3) Its not TA because he doesn't use indicators.
4) He uses TA with other stuff.
5) They would never admit to using TA. Therefore, they don't use TA.
To the TA bashers, the earth is still flat.
