Quote from zbojnik:
Are you a full-time forex trader or do you know of someone who is?
Some do exist, but there are indeed fewer 'success' stories in forex than commodities or equities. Take ET for example. There are several traders who have made it in equities for years (lescor for example) but none in forex/Sp500.
I believe that the elephant in the trading rooms (forums) is that most are not profitable in fx but nobody dare say it. You can almost feel it, when you read the posts, etc.
The reasons could be the following:
1) Forex offers 1:50 leverage, so even traders with technical ability who are undisciplined, wash out early. In equities, leverage is built into the issue, so you get volatility without owing anything to your broker.
2) Forex has no direction or bias, so determining price direction is hard.
In equities, it's hard to be wrong going long during a bull run. Of course, whether a trader survives the next business cycle is questionable, but at least he/her weaknesses aren't revealed for many years making it seem like they have a lasting edge.
3) More retraces in forex than equities. Price can take off in equities and never come back
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Look at the Barclay Hedge Fund indices:
http://www.barclayhedge.com/research/indices/cta/sub/curr.html
Currency funds return an average of 7%. That should tell you something.
Here is an fx fund with 100 AUM that is doing well with a max DD of 4%:
http://www.managedfutures.com/program_performance.aspx?fundtype=&productId=80188
Will they continue to do well in a low volatility environment? Who knows.