DJIA 100 years from now

H

Hook N. Sinker

2 January 2008 the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closes at 13043 (omitting decimals). I calculate that the annual growth rate for the DJIA from 13 December 1956 to 13 December 2006 (50 years) is 6.66 %. If I calculate 6.66 % growth for the next hundred years then the DJIA value is 8,232,570 at the beginning of year 2108. In ten years (year 2018) the DJIA calculates to be 24,854. Year 2028, 47,360.

2008 13,043
2009 13,912
2010 14,838
2011 15,826
2012 16,880
2013 18,005
2014 19,204
2015 20,483
2016 21,847
2017 23,302
2018 24,854
2019 26,509
2020 28,275
2021 30,158
2022 32,166
2023 34,308
2024 36,593
2025 39,031
2026 41,630
2027 44,403
2028 47,360
2038 90,245

2048 171,965
2058 327,685
2068 624,413
2078 1,189,839
2088 2,267,273
2098 4,320,357
2108 8,232,570
 
you are assuming it will grow that rate going forwards. The most likely reason you are wrong is that the USD wont survive that long (which is what your pricing it in).
 
Quote from empee:

you are assuming it will grow that rate going forwards. The most likely reason you are wrong is that the USD wont survive that long (which is what your pricing it in).
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you have much chance at knowing that as his projection...
 
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