Divergences

Quote from romik:

SHORT YI U6 mini Silver 06 future contract

Current at the time of call: $12.12 50% position
PT1: $11.00
PT2: depends
Average down: $13.00
Stop: $13.50

Taking an early BRD "A class" in MACD HIST on a daily chart attached

I was kinda looking at closing this paper trade today, as PT1 has been hit and price went down to ~$10.59, but then I thought to myself looking at MACD/HIST and BB...why now? And decided to hold LOL. Well, there has to be some fun involved in this job.
 
Quote from romik:

Added remainder 50% position @ $13.00, upper BB level has been broken, next resistance @ $13.50 and so is the stop, I'll let it run to $13.60. Hopefully, there will be a 3 BRD in HIST.

Average price of the short position: $12.56

Here is an updated position based on rollover.

Sep 06 average was $12.56 and covered on Sep 7th @ $12.90 (-2.7%)

Initiated short @ $13.00 on Dec 06. PT1 $11.00 reached with 50% position covered and 50% remains open till $13.00. Current unrealised Pnl ~+15% Gross (not accounting for a -2.7% loss on rollover).
 
I am still currently looking at hedging positions with buying calls/puts of the underlying stock. Therefore, all new calls will benefit, I hope, from having a hedge in place at the time of making a call.

One thing I am not taking into consideration here are commissions. Hopefully, it's not much of a problem as PTs are over 1% and commissions will not be taking a big toll on profits. As far as the slippage is concerned, as mentioned in the beginning of the J, I do try and settle for reduced prices than quoted at the time of opening/closing positions.
 
Quote from romik:

Short ABI (NYSE) Applera Corp - Applied Biosystems Group

Current: $30.84
PT1: $28.00
PT2: $25.00
PT3: N/A
Average down: N/A
Stop: $33.60
BRD in MACD/HIST/RSI/STOCH on a weekly chart attached.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ABI

hopefully this is ripe for a decline here, 52w high has not been broken so far and the price is down over 2% today
 
SHORT - IPG (NYSE) Interpublic Grp of Cos

Hedge: Buy 75 Oct $10.00 Calls @ 0.25

Current: $9.83
Average down: ~$10.17
PT1: $9.10
PT2: $8.00
PT3: N/A
Stop: ~$10.30
BRD in HIST on a daily chart attached, but daily chart is in an uptrend with a possible double bottom in the mid $7 range. Possible reward outweighs risk here. I would say that this could be a risky trade when looking on the daily chart.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=IPG
 

Attachments

**********UPDATE****************

Staying in the trade as there is a strong possibility of a 3BRD in MACD and now we have also a possible short grail present in RSI on daily chart.


Short ABI (NYSE) Applera Corp - Applied Biosystems Group

Current: $30.84
PT1: $28.00
PT2: $25.00
PT3: N/A
Average down: N/A
Stop: $33.60
BRD in MACD/HIST/RSI/STOCH on a weekly chart attached.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ABI
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I think the fate of this trade is going to be decided very shortly. At the moment the price approaches 52 week high of $33.59, but there is a cute BRD on the weekly chart, which is still valid. So the plan would be to close the trade @ initial stop level and re-enter the short when shorter TFs start showing signs of weakening upside. Hopefully it's not going to gap down or up for that matter.
 
Quote from romik:

Here is an updated position based on rollover.

Sep 06 average was $12.56 and covered on Sep 7th @ $12.90 (-2.7%)

Initiated short @ $13.00 on Dec 06. PT1 $11.00 reached with 50% position covered and 50% remains open till $13.00. Current unrealised Pnl ~+15% Gross (not accounting for a -2.7% loss on rollover).

Position closed for:

+11.95% adjusted
 
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