A little background before I dive into the topic. I am a discretionary trader who only looks at the ES, ER2, NQ - MD Trader windows on my TT workstation. I do not use charts. My objective is to be positive(profitable) everyday. I trade often and take my losers quickly! The examples are based on my experience, but are not true stories
The topic I would like to discuss is the minds way of categorizing memories, and how this can be destructive to my trading. I will use 2 examples to explain the topic.
1.Lets say the last two weeks(6-5-06 to 6-16-06) I am down $500 after expenses. I have had 9 profitable days, and one large losing day(Friday June 9th). My average winning day was $500. The one losing day I lost $5000. I come in today and my mind is stuck on the fact that I lost $5000. The intensity of the negative thought overwhelms me. I cannot separate myself from the thought. It is almost like the other 9 profitable days did not happen. I cannot even feel good about having 5 profitable days last week. Monday's(6-19-06) trading day begins. I make a couple of small trades. After a half hour I am up $150. The negative tone to the day has not lifted. I begin to panic and put on a 15 lot long position in ER2 buying new highs. The trade goes my way by ten ticks. I am up $1600 on the day. My mind deducts this amount from the 5,000 I lost on Friday(5-9-06). In my mind the market only has $3400 more to give me. Well large selling comes in I freeze and do not take any profits. I watch as the market continues to sell off. I have many opportunities to take profits, but sit on my hands. ............... Finally I exit .........now i have another $5000 loss to stick in my brain!!! When I finally exit I am down $5000 on the day.
2. Lets say the last two weeks(6-5-06 to 6-16-06) I am up $12000 after expenses. I have had 10 consecutive profitable days. Last Thursday(6-15-06) I made $5700. I was lucky to be short when Bernanke warned about inflation. The market screamed down. For the entire two weeks I traded very disciplined. I exited losers very quickly. Over the weekend I keep thinking about the one trade where I made over $5000. When Monday(6-19-06) comes I am excited to begin the trading day. Trading goes well Monday, and I make $500. Tuesday and Wednesday are about the same. After three days I am up $1700. Even though I am up money I have felt panicky. I have been in a manic state all week. Then Thursday rolls around. I proceed to lose $6000. After the trading day is over I feel relieved. Almost like a weight has been lifted off of my chest. Almost like I can get back to trading again.
The main idea I am trying to present in both examples is how the mind stuck to the extremes of both periods. The process is not remembered by the mind. I have come to the conclusion that the mind's memory banks are filled with false history. A history that can be destructive to my daily trading process. It seems the emotion attached to the memory can distort the way the memory is recorded. Thus when I take the memory off the shelf the emotional charge that is attached to this memory actually makes the memory destructive.
In conclusion, I will change a common quote used by mutual funds "past performance does not predict future performance"
memories can destroy future performance
The topic I would like to discuss is the minds way of categorizing memories, and how this can be destructive to my trading. I will use 2 examples to explain the topic.
1.Lets say the last two weeks(6-5-06 to 6-16-06) I am down $500 after expenses. I have had 9 profitable days, and one large losing day(Friday June 9th). My average winning day was $500. The one losing day I lost $5000. I come in today and my mind is stuck on the fact that I lost $5000. The intensity of the negative thought overwhelms me. I cannot separate myself from the thought. It is almost like the other 9 profitable days did not happen. I cannot even feel good about having 5 profitable days last week. Monday's(6-19-06) trading day begins. I make a couple of small trades. After a half hour I am up $150. The negative tone to the day has not lifted. I begin to panic and put on a 15 lot long position in ER2 buying new highs. The trade goes my way by ten ticks. I am up $1600 on the day. My mind deducts this amount from the 5,000 I lost on Friday(5-9-06). In my mind the market only has $3400 more to give me. Well large selling comes in I freeze and do not take any profits. I watch as the market continues to sell off. I have many opportunities to take profits, but sit on my hands. ............... Finally I exit .........now i have another $5000 loss to stick in my brain!!! When I finally exit I am down $5000 on the day.
2. Lets say the last two weeks(6-5-06 to 6-16-06) I am up $12000 after expenses. I have had 10 consecutive profitable days. Last Thursday(6-15-06) I made $5700. I was lucky to be short when Bernanke warned about inflation. The market screamed down. For the entire two weeks I traded very disciplined. I exited losers very quickly. Over the weekend I keep thinking about the one trade where I made over $5000. When Monday(6-19-06) comes I am excited to begin the trading day. Trading goes well Monday, and I make $500. Tuesday and Wednesday are about the same. After three days I am up $1700. Even though I am up money I have felt panicky. I have been in a manic state all week. Then Thursday rolls around. I proceed to lose $6000. After the trading day is over I feel relieved. Almost like a weight has been lifted off of my chest. Almost like I can get back to trading again.
The main idea I am trying to present in both examples is how the mind stuck to the extremes of both periods. The process is not remembered by the mind. I have come to the conclusion that the mind's memory banks are filled with false history. A history that can be destructive to my daily trading process. It seems the emotion attached to the memory can distort the way the memory is recorded. Thus when I take the memory off the shelf the emotional charge that is attached to this memory actually makes the memory destructive.
In conclusion, I will change a common quote used by mutual funds "past performance does not predict future performance"
memories can destroy future performance
