Quote from drsteph:
So think about gold if you had bought it at $480ish previously and held it until now. Without great insight, I think it was that last most recently in 1997. Take that same $480 and invest it at a lousy 4% CD rate compounded over the eight years and you get $ 660. That's why its hard to own gold at all times.
sure -- in dollars. ask a Turk if he would rather have been holding gold or turkish lira during the same period:
XAU/TRL:
01/01/1997 39879955.0
01/01/2005 601041034.0
and it gets much uglier the further you go back. I agree with you that the "always hold gold" theory of the alarmist end-is-near types has been a loser for americans, but if things go wrong, they can go very wrong....