read the thread through is said the built in stat loss is around 20% because it revert to open thus and stops from my data about 20% of the time thus making a 90% level 90%*80%= 72%
notice then later i said that while you learned that ...now we can fix a mistake in thought process and use tick data and run the stats for what you just mentioned..... thats the next step perfecting and removing 20% tendencies. while the system in the beginning does work it have a unremovable built in loss around 20% we take our idea a step further in the next few posts to really form the idea we were looking for .... this is an "approach" to helping create a working system that you know your odds. this just shows you how and gives you an idea to using stats.
now the info we gained is not in vain because we can now look at our past way of putting this in a spreadsheet and finding formation probs... showing us tendencies in formation its helpful.
then show you how to apply the same logic to tick data now you know your direct odds... this is a thread that builds on itself. IM not giving you a system to give you a system is to give you nothing. to give you an approach is helpful.
