direct statistical trading a "clearly" defined approach by NTW31

Quote from chameleons:

NTW31, Thanks.
Have you ever tested the strategy for high frequency trading, eg. 5 min bar? I would like to try Your strategy for 1-min or 5-min index futures.
ive seen someone do it and they were very successful they had to modify it a bit i think but it worked good. watching them do it was so incredibly fast tho.

had an ea he wrote based off of some stats i ran with fixed 4000 sample of candles then autotraded it.
 
Quote from nukethewhales31:

ive seen someone do it and they were very successful they had to modify it a bit i think but it worked good. watching them do it was so incredibly fast tho.

had an ea he wrote based off of some stats i ran with fixed 4000 sample of candles then autotraded it.

I would imagine variable spreads and bid/ask would make this somewhat difficult, no?
 
Quote from knocks420:

I would imagine variable spreads and bid/ask would make this somewhat difficult, no?
there are times of the day statistically spreads are closer an further have it turn on and off at those times

i know he was scraping something like 1 pip or less at times but over the course of X amount of trades it added up

i forget why he stopped using it probably the change in VOL
 
this week stung the heart usually i trade alot higher wins but i was at 74% this week out of 93 trades

i chalk it all up to poor trading not following rules and being a bad trader.

-always follow your rules.

i need to invest in one of those flogs so i can flog myself when i F up.
 
also im sure youve noticed the slow down in my postings... im working on videos real time live action trading in motion as i do it ... i have like 20 systems so ill show some of the ones i no longer use. have to figure out how to block account numbers and stuff tho so give me some time.
 
Maybe I am missing something here, but there seems to be an obvious mistake.

From what I gather you have your entrance at open +x... then stop at open. And you expect it to have the same % accuracy as what you figured when performing the intial calculations.. however that is impossible...

Simply because your calculations deal with something such as abs(open-high) and abs(open-low)... so your shortest distance and your longest distance variables are generated from above..

This does not give you any information to be able to say if price moves greater than open+x to enter and then to get stoped otu if it moves back to the open.. it should be if it moves past the open-LSD...

That is because its easy for the price to pass your entrance point, still go back below the open or further, not get all the way to open-LSD,then turn around and go back above yoru entrance point as much as your SDL...

do you get what I am saying? Am I describing this correctly? Bottom line, I dont get the stop being at open.. using OHLC bars you do not have enough data to know what came first... therefore yoru % of success for the trade numbers are way off... you should be using your stop for longs at open-LSD

Which this makes your risk for your trade MUCH greater, makes it more like 2*LSD instead of just one LSD..

comments?
 
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