oh, lol. I decide @ the open of every new price bar what I think the outcome will be, and then take the ATM or nearest ITM strike relative to the open price. limits of course but on the higher duration bets it doesn't particularly matter. most of mine are in the 55-70/100 range.
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digital outcomes
- Thread starter lucysparabola
- Start date
FWIW and in the spirit of complete and utter transparency I will always, always, always hold through expiration unless posted here. I also will not have a stop on the bet as my debit is the max loss.
Well, after doing a deeper analysis of my positions once I got nailed on this last ES, I have changed my stance on this. I'll post entry / exit / stop points accordingly.
i'll post some charts as well if there is any interest in that sort of thing.
am also moving to a minimum of hourly duration, so will post those as I hit them.
I know nothing about this type of betting - hope you don't mind if I follow along.
sure, the more the merrier!
EURUSD hourly, 1.0820 strike; just sold it at 26/100. stop is at 50/100. Essentially a 1:1 bet.
EURUSD hourly, 1.0820 strike; just sold it at 26/100. stop is at 50/100. Essentially a 1:1 bet.
FWIW, these move fairly quickly so anyone who wishes to follow will probably want to be notified automatically.
Currently at 9/100, holding through expiration. stop moved to 40/100.
Currently at 9/100, holding through expiration. stop moved to 40/100.
spreads widened, so stop was moved back to 50/100. barely missed it. you can sell at 27/100 for one more minute on this one.
$26 paid. not the best trade in the world but i'll take it.
the 9AM EURUSD 1.0815 is currently 53/100 offered. bought; stop at 27/100.
the 9AM EURUSD 1.0815 is currently 53/100 offered. bought; stop at 27/100.
Scratched after the pop higher on CPI. Tried to grab the print at 78/100 but missed it and got out while I could.
Selling EURUSD 1.0787 10AM @ 26/100. Stop at 62/100 to account for the spread.