Did Nate Silver......

[RCG Trader]

call EVERY SINGLE STATE correctly??

Anybody got a link to this?

 

[trefoil]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

He actually called for 313, with FL it'll be higher. But look at the map on the right, I can't find a mistake on which ones he called blue.

 

[hughb]

The Gallup most likely voter poll showed Romney well ahead at one point. I had always been told that this was the most reliable poll. Don't think I will be paying much attention to it anymore.

 

[RCG Trader]

Quote from trefoil:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

He actually called for 313, with FL it'll be higher. But look at the map on the right, I can't find a mistake on which ones he called blue.

That's simply incredible. I got that piece of info thru a text message that Silver had gone 50/50.

Wow.

 

[mrbill]

And, InTrade map showing how well they did, State by State, pretty nice.

http://electoralmap.net/2012/2012final.php

 

[Navin Johnson]

Very impressive. Silver did an excellent job forecasting the outcome.

 

[rubibond007]

CU Ken Bicker model was wrong
Yale electoral model was wrong too
Morris and Rove were wrong
Gallup was wrong
CNN/CBS/WSJ/FOX independents polls were wrong

Nate Silver was dead right!

 

[atticus]

A lot of people stated some pretty disparaging stuff about Mr Silver. I think some apologies are in order. The guy predicted an EC blowout and even he was conservative.

 

[atticus]

Quote from RCG Trader:

That's simply incredible. I got that piece of info thru a text message that Silver had gone 50/50.

Wow.

It was Silver's quant on Romney (high 20s on the digital) that had me enter buy limits at betfair and intrade to cover my "pick'em" wagers at 29. I owe the guy.

 

[peleus]

Any news for Nate this year? I tried to look something up but no new info found as of yet.