put this data with the essay from Mitchell. Be sure to understand the part about the fails, which are illegal, and that they show up T plus 4.
Taking into consideration the reporting structure of the CNS Fails data, fails are reported on Trade + 3 days as a fail if such trade does not close out on time. Thus, for a trade executed on Wednesday March 12, 2008 a fail would be reported on Monday March 17, 2008. Similarly a trade executed into a failure on Monday March 17, 2008 would show up as a failure on Friday March 20, 2008.
Date CNS Reported Fails Closing Price
Bear Stearns BSC 3/10/2008 36,297 $62.30
Bear Stearns BSC 3/11/2008 149,700 $62.97
Bear Stearns BSC 3/12/2008 135,647 $61.58 Trade Executed
Bear Stearns BSC 3/13/2008 19,424 $57.00 T+1
Bear Stearns BSC 3/14/2008 201,768 $30.00 T+2
Bear Stearns BSC 3/17/2008 1,247,876 $4.81 T+3 (CNS Fail) Trade Executed
Bear Stearns BSC 3/18/2008 749,837 $5.91 T+1
Bear Stearns BSC 3/19/2008 2,120,638 $5.33 T+2
Bear Stearns BSC 3/20/2008 13,789,126 $5.96 T+3 (CNS Fail)
Bear Stearns BSC 3/24/2008 12,588,395 $11.25
Bear Stearns BSC 3/25/2008 11,736,910 $10.94
Bear Stearns BSC 3/26/2008 7,673,413 $11.21
Bear Stearns BSC 3/27/2008 9,340,963 $11.23
Bear Stearns BSC 3/28/2008 12,396,655 $10.78
Bear Stearns BSC 3/31/2008 4,677,810 $10.49
Clearly, evidence reveals a significant premonition that Bear Stearns was about to take a nose dive as more than $64 Million worth of Bear Stearns shares were sold into net settlement failure on March 12, 2008 as the failures increased 6-fold from 200K to 1.2 Million. The pattern continues during the markets decline leading into Monday March 17, 2008 where the fails again accumulated 7-fold from 2 Million to near 14 Million while the market collapsed from $30.00 to a closing price of $4.81
Now who was so sure of the demise of Bear that they just sold everything they could, and could not, get their hands on? Sorta stinks, no???
By the way, this data is aggregate. That is, these are the fails left over. You could naked short a 100,000, buy back 50 before the end of the day, and only 50 would show up.
Taking into consideration the reporting structure of the CNS Fails data, fails are reported on Trade + 3 days as a fail if such trade does not close out on time. Thus, for a trade executed on Wednesday March 12, 2008 a fail would be reported on Monday March 17, 2008. Similarly a trade executed into a failure on Monday March 17, 2008 would show up as a failure on Friday March 20, 2008.
Date CNS Reported Fails Closing Price
Bear Stearns BSC 3/10/2008 36,297 $62.30
Bear Stearns BSC 3/11/2008 149,700 $62.97
Bear Stearns BSC 3/12/2008 135,647 $61.58 Trade Executed
Bear Stearns BSC 3/13/2008 19,424 $57.00 T+1
Bear Stearns BSC 3/14/2008 201,768 $30.00 T+2
Bear Stearns BSC 3/17/2008 1,247,876 $4.81 T+3 (CNS Fail) Trade Executed
Bear Stearns BSC 3/18/2008 749,837 $5.91 T+1
Bear Stearns BSC 3/19/2008 2,120,638 $5.33 T+2
Bear Stearns BSC 3/20/2008 13,789,126 $5.96 T+3 (CNS Fail)
Bear Stearns BSC 3/24/2008 12,588,395 $11.25
Bear Stearns BSC 3/25/2008 11,736,910 $10.94
Bear Stearns BSC 3/26/2008 7,673,413 $11.21
Bear Stearns BSC 3/27/2008 9,340,963 $11.23
Bear Stearns BSC 3/28/2008 12,396,655 $10.78
Bear Stearns BSC 3/31/2008 4,677,810 $10.49
Clearly, evidence reveals a significant premonition that Bear Stearns was about to take a nose dive as more than $64 Million worth of Bear Stearns shares were sold into net settlement failure on March 12, 2008 as the failures increased 6-fold from 200K to 1.2 Million. The pattern continues during the markets decline leading into Monday March 17, 2008 where the fails again accumulated 7-fold from 2 Million to near 14 Million while the market collapsed from $30.00 to a closing price of $4.81
Now who was so sure of the demise of Bear that they just sold everything they could, and could not, get their hands on? Sorta stinks, no???
By the way, this data is aggregate. That is, these are the fails left over. You could naked short a 100,000, buy back 50 before the end of the day, and only 50 would show up.