Dick Morris is a piece of crap

Quote from Pabst:

Few in political science lend credence to those 1992 exit polls. Exit polling has been a notoriously poor barometer of sentiment. I have no theory as to why that's been true. Perhaps too small a sample of data. I've run for elective office 5 times in my life (2-3) and as an elected Committeeman I visit around 50-70 polling places each election day. (Yes it takes HOURS). Yet, I've NEVER seen exit polling being performed.

All one need do (as I've done) is look at Bush-Dukakis, Kemp-Clinton and Bush/Clinton/Perot on a county by county basis. It's obvious that MANY more Perot voters were former Republican's. One can also use logic to "backdoor" the results. Generally the states that Perot did the worst were the states Bush did the best. NY being the most notable exception. But does ANYONE believe Clinton would have won, Montana without Perot on the ballot? It's those HARDCORE fiscal conservatives who made up Perot's base. Do you belive any more than a third of Perot voters were of the mindset, "well I wanted to vote for that higher taxes, national health care, gays in military fellow but I think I'll go with Perot."

Bush Senior's job approval numbers were in the low 30s in 1992, even his base abandoned him. Regardless of the exit polls (which were actually extremely accurate in 1992) why is it so hard to imagine that a president whose job approval rating is around 30% loses his reelection campaign. Especially given the fact that he was running against a highly intelligent, energetic, charismatic, southern, sentrist governor.
 
Quote from dddooo:

Nonsense.



Exit polls showed that Perot's voters apparently split their preferences between Clinton and Bush nearly equally, although approximately a third of them likely would not have voted without him on the ballot.
http://www.fairvote.org/plurality/perot.htm



DIONNE (11/12/92): In House races, Perot voters split down the middle: 51 percent said they backed Republicans, 49 percent backed Democrats. In the presidential contest, 38 percent of Perot supporters said they would have supported Clinton if Perot had not been on the ballot and 37 percent said they would have supported Bush.
http://www.dailyhowler.com/dh062905.html

lol... thats the biggest crock of shit... perot was a conservative.... clinton was the antithesis of everything perot stood for. your polls are propaganda.
 
Quote from Pabst:

Exit polling has been a notoriously poor barometer of sentiment. I have no theory as to why that's been true.

Because it is not. Exit polls if correctly done is one of the most reliable barometer and the UN uses it in other countries to check the legality of the voting process.

Also exit polls showed why the last election was cheated in the US (a mathematical impossibility), but you already knew that... :)
 
Quote from Nick Leeson Jr:

Typical Clinton hind licker

As much as the ridiculous support of the worst Presidential Administration in the history of the US (Cheney/Bush), Clinton hating is an absolute indicator of how partisanship has ripped this country to pieces. How can anyone be so contemptuos of 8 years of peace and prosperity, pragmatism that extended from "Don't ask don't tell" to Welfare Reform, the first budget surplus in over two decades, respect among our allies, etc. All this and he had time to defend our god given right to lie about getting blowjobs! Put down the ridiculous partisanship and try to support politicians who are actually good at their jobs.
 
Quote from dddooo:

LOL, that must be another one of your conspiracy theories. Boy, you're dumb.

how does a lifelong conservative republican, that only changes to a third party so he can run, draw from stupid liberals like yourself? answer that question geniusboy.

and regarding conspiracies, you still havent offered a realistic explanation for wtc7 so stfu.
 
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