DF

[oldnemesis]

..http://finance.yahoo.com/news/3-consumer-stock-picks-2016-200108228.html

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/dean-foods-company-earnings-beat-131026318.html

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/financials/fi-126.1.DF.NYS

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/stockdetails/analysis/fi-126.1.DF.NYS

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=DF

Trade:
With DF at 17.82
June 14/10 bull put spread for a net credit of $35
Yield = 35/365 = 9.59% in 171 days or 20.5% annualized
Prob = 84%
expectation = .84(35) - .01(365) - .15(182) = 29.4 - 3.6 - 27.3 = -1.5

Price............ Profit / Loss........ ROM %
7.50................ (365.00)............. -90.41%
10.00.............. (365.00)............. -90.41%
10.34.............. (331.40)............. -90.41%
13.32.............. (33.00)................ -8.25%
13.65................. 0.00................... 0.00%
14.00............... 35.00................... 9.59%
16.00............... 35.00................... 9.59%
20.00............... 35.00................... 9.59%
22.00............... 35.00................... 9.59%