dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

[Darc]

Now following @GutterSlut

 

[SunTrader]

Good slut.

 

[Baron]

70.4%!

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If you want mod privileges, then you'll need to lay out exactly what your moderation rules are because this much I can tell you:

Being a moderator and being a dictator are two different things completely. Based upon the many issues you've had with countless members in the past, banning whoever you want from your thread using whatever emotion you're feeling at the moment as the basis for your action isn't being a moderator. That's just being a dictator.

So again, if you want mod privileges I'd love to know what your moderation rules would be. Nobody wants to see their posts getting edited or deleted by you based on your random emotions and feelings, or because you suddenly designated them as "trolls".

 

[destriero]

If you want mod privileges, then you'll need to lay out exactly what your moderation rules are because this much I can tell you:

Being a moderator and being a dictator are two different things completely. Based upon the many issues you've had with countless members in the past, banning whoever you want from your thread using whatever emotion you're feeling at the moment as the basis for your action isn't being a moderator. That's just being a dictator.

So again, if you want mod privileges I'd love to know what your moderation rules would be. Nobody wants to see their posts getting edited or deleted by you based on your random emotions and feelings, or because you suddenly designated them as "trolls".

I would only delete outright troll posts which have nothing to do with the topic at-hand; such as:

What wisdom? Nobody understands anything the guy says, including you. No explanation from him nor any real proof.
Why does he keep posting this every two weeks? I don’t think it’s just to show off his “wisdom”. He clearly said he runs a limited partnership and is looking for accredited investors. The way he comes across, I am willing to bet he will gladly take any amount from any non-accredited guys. This all sounds very fishy. Someone should report him to finra, sec and what not so nobody who can’t afford to lose money loses it.

u will never collect that money from todd. he is a phony. i also got bamboozled by him. still waiting for the bet i won from him. all the noobs, beware all those diarrhea that spew out of this fat bastard mouth. u have been warned!

@schizo's post, etc.

If it's on topic, I will not delete/remove even if it's critical.

 

[GutterSlut]

I would only delete outright troll posts which have nothing to do with the topic at-hand; such as:





@schizo's post, etc.

If it's on topic, I will not delete/remove even if it's critical.

Why do you even waste your time here? I spent the last day going through hundreds of posts (I'm new here, not new to trading) and almost everything on this site is utter garbage. Why even bother with these peasants? Surely you value your time and sanity?

 

[destriero]

Why do you even waste your time here? I spent the last day going through hundreds of posts (I'm new here, not new to trading) and almost everything on this site is utter garbage. Why even bother with these peasants? Surely you value your time and sanity?

I like to contribute to push ppl in the right direction, but I am a bit abrasive and intolerant of BS/frauds, etc.

 

[destriero]

If you want mod privileges, then you'll need to lay out exactly what your moderation rules are because this much I can tell you:

Being a moderator and being a dictator are two different things completely. Based upon the many issues you've had with countless members in the past, banning whoever you want from your thread using whatever emotion you're feeling at the moment as the basis for your action isn't being a moderator. That's just being a dictator.

So again, if you want mod privileges I'd love to know what your moderation rules would be. Nobody wants to see their posts getting edited or deleted by you based on your random emotions and feelings, or because you suddenly designated them as "trolls".

I would never edit a post.

 

[GutterSlut]

I like to contribute to push ppl in the right direction, but I am a bit abrasive and intolerant of BS/frauds, etc.

Roger that.

I've been trading futures for years. Never traded an options contract in my life. Looking now to make money during periods of volatility and lack thereof. If someone wanted to dominate the options market, where would you recommend they start? Loads of B.S. out there and I don't want to poison my mind with false info.

Should I just download an options calculator, try to project estimated value on future options prices (price projection) and try to figure this out on data alone and skip the books? ie. Experience? Or is this a skill that needs to be trained and learned from outside sources?

Thanks.

 

[newwurldmn]

Roger that.

I've been trading futures for years. Never traded an options contract in my life. If someone wanted to dominate the options market, where would you recommend they start? Loads of B.S. out there and I don't want to poison my mind with false info.

Should I just download an options calculator, try to project estimated value on future options prices (price projection) and try to figure this out on data alone and skip the books? ie. Experience? Or is this a skill that needs to be trained?

You need to learn how option prices move in theory.

then you need to learn how they could move in real life.

then you need to learn how to make a vol / spot forecast that exploits the theory or the violation of it.

 

[GutterSlut]

You need to learn how option prices move in theory.

then you need to learn how they could move in real life.

then you need to learn how to make a vol / spot forecast that exploits the theory or the violation of it.

I assume this is because Market Makers have everything priced in and the only way to make money is from unexpected changes in vol and/or price? You essentially have to outsmart their model?

Edit: Ya, I'm on TOS right now looking over options prices and it seems that you will never making money just buying options as they're efficiently priced. Okay, so the name of the game is to find out where their model breaks down and profit from it. Thanks for the heads up.