Spot already at strike
Spot already at strike
5 lot that was short D from inception. Prop bet on profits?

The position is slightly positive on deltas though. The play is neutral to slightly positive and short vol.
Think of the post-report delta and gamma pos at ddecay on steroids.
That's why I fade the opening vol morning after report. Plenty left on the table, with much less risk.
is this TOS?I was just simulating vol change (either up or down) to see the behaviour. I think I understood this.
Vol going down:
View attachment 188819
Vol going up:
View attachment 188820
What I noticed, though, is that 30 days IV_rank of GOOGL is only 43.4%. Doesn't sound too high for a position where the rational is to wait a decrease on vol.
Didn't work in NFLX, doe. Sure tho, if GOOG trades to 1100 I am fooked. I give up the debit above 2020. I am forecasting 1175-1180 or 1230.