The type of people who shit on posters like Dest are the same type of people who sign up for a Timothy Sykes trading course
ICs are slow-moving, which avoids panicking people new to trading. They also appear to offer a steady, "safe" return - but (as you note) this comes with a cost: the returns on 16D/side ICs are pretty much never going to surpass simply buying and holding an index.
a number of 0-day flys in SPXW.X, and you generally get out of those within an hour and at ~10%.
Someone been keeping notes. Nice post
Y’all remember that $1,000 bet that I won from Poopy Dest? I just used it in $1 bills to wipe my ass after Thanksgiving! Never felt better!
As I get older I have moved into 4-8 week expirations in much larger size. Infinitely better liquidity.
Y’all remember that $1,000 bet that I won from Poopy Dest? I just used it in $1 bills to wipe my ass after Thanksgiving! Never felt better!
This is not exactly right. Depending on how you structure it (the belly ATM or the belly OTM), flys can express somewhat different views.A butterfly is one of the more interesting spreads. Why? Well for one, a butterfly is just a hedged straddle. The straddle is another spread thats more "interesting" than the rest, why? Because the ATM straddle is the markets way of pricing the magnitude of movement.
) in the indices, but in my case i do them with bellies OTM. They work well if I can find a structure that's flat decay, long local gamma and short vega - all while getting the widest strike spread between the wings relative to the premium. In that case, it essentially becomes a loss-limited way to short the skew while getting (or tolerating) mild directional exposure - especially when skew is steep and the wings are negatively convex. If nothing happens, because of the wing decay, your risk profile will look more and more like a vanilla option It's very rare that a market making book will have something as well defined as "a fly". You get hit or lifted on something (hopefully at a good price), you book it and skew your markets to cover the risk. Sometimes you get lucky and cover in an identical option, sometimes in something close by and sometimes in a different part of the surface (or even different underlying). MM's books are filled with amorphous positions and they get paid for managing these positions. The general idea is that you buy things somewhat cheap and sell things somewhat rich - do that a lot and positive edge adds up to a nice fat check at the end of the year.Maybe this is why MM’s books are filled with flies.
Y’all remember that $1,000 bet that I won from Poopy Dest? I just used it in $1 bills to wipe my ass after Thanksgiving! Never felt better!