Reminds me of statisticians covering Clinton's campaign. So much group think, so taboo to question that she wouldn't win by a huge margin, that nobody had it right when the votes were counted. At a market top every long is a genius, whether they're operating on sound information or because their cat wags its tail when an Amazon commercial comes on television.
No matter what I might think is going to happen in any market, I wouldn't pay any attention to anyone who wasn't at least a little bit skeptical.
To everything there is a season, and a time to every purpose under heaven ... including a time for clueless morons to look like geniuses.
But then, ultimately, who cares .. traders observe reality in the short term, and "knowing what's going to happen" is ruin.