Quote from marketsurfer:
Yes, clearly it is random since we know the source of the outcome as randomly generated.
You are unaware of the source of the outcome in financial instrument prices, therefore, price MUST be random to you regardless of past patterns that sometimes repeat.
While there may be metaphysical order within the chaos, not knowing the full source of price movement means it is random to you by default. It certainly isn't discernable by watching past prices-- if it was, the market would have self destructed a long time ago.
Embrace the unknown, brother.
surf
PS-- I have JH on ignore, please don't quote the guy! thanks
as everyone can see, there is something about my posts whereby he doesn't debate me. Im "wrong" basically.
Here is what he isn't chewing on, apparently:
I only do my annotating in the Present. I do not predict or use any probability at all.
RR suggested that a person work; then when time passes (more that surf's 10 coin flips which are not names of bars (head bars or tail bars)) like 40 hours in my case or 10,000 hours in the CW myth, it may be possible that neuroscientific measured mind building has occurrred in long term memory.
Surf uses various theories as time passes. Today it is the "source" of what we must not use to watch as hindsight. This may be a contridiction, even. But it isn't since surf is now using "price Drivers, which, collectively is big guys orders not yet executed.
Some bunches of these I call "WALLS"; they are found on the DOM. RDBMS thinking lets anyone comapre the veloity of tthe tape with the delta of bunches called walls. An inequality results and you have a leading indicatorr of price.
BUT....... The market has many measures and they are criteria, filters, functions, rules, strategies, etc......
So as suggested....I am a student.... As a student I work.
Work over 55 years, for me, did not evaporate. It was iteratively refined using cognitive efforts. Thus my emotions are ALWAYS there in parallel with my work in NOW using RDBMS.
Of all my inventions, I like watching the PRV best.
Now I see bar 78, and we all know the margin is changing from RTH's to nite time. I am flat having taken the loot on the long sentiment.
The rule on bar 78 is simple; try is sometime: "Advance one Peak". Today it was P3P.
Lets do the carry over for the open tomorrow by looking at bar 81 in a few.