Quote from mahram:
But if you were looking at the debt, they were trading at 70-85 cents to dollar on wednesday and thursday, and even a bit on friday. The bond holders, the people who are the most in and knowlege in delphi were blindsided. , Like I said, from jp morgan ,either the guy was incompetent or he was getting pushed by a big hedgefund. You have to remember just 4 days ago, everybody was saying delphi wouldnt declare bankruptcy because GM would have to stomach at least 6 billion in costs, but now it ballooned to 11-12 billion. And everybody was saying a deal would come because of the CAW agreement, and news that a GM/UAW healthcare deal was tied to GM helping them out with delphi uaw workers. Everybody was blindsided, or just blind to reality. As I see it, the GM/UAW healthcare deal is dead. And if GM continues to fight their obligations to uaw delphi workers, it will knock down any further deals till they declare bankruptcy or till the UAW/GM contract expires in 07.
And back to research reports, yes they are bias, but it gives you insights to what the street and other hedgies *implied* are thinking. And if you were looking at the bonds and debt at delphi you got the impression delphi would make it.