Quote from derock1004:
I totally agree. DELL is definitely a good SHORT!!
Fundamental:
If you guys go back to the early 90s, DELL did hook up with SAM's Club like what it did now with Wal-Mart and it was a FAILURE and that's why I do not hink that the Wal-Mart hookup is going to work out for DELL.
HP is gaining market shares in the PC industry.
Apple I-MAC is growing so fast that it is stealing market shares from the PC industry.
People lost their faith in DELL becasue of their poor services and products' qualities.
Most important: Accounting Probe.
Until today, we still have no idea what is going on with its accounting works and all the released statements are preliminary. I think the Street have overlooked the accounting probe and placed too much focus in the Wal-mart hookups and the Return of Michael Dell. It is very obvious that Dell is using a very aggressive accounting policies to make its accounting statement to look better than it should be (e.g. Treatment of warranties) and this is definitely a RED FLAG.
I believe that the stock will down at least 15% if DELL announces to restate its earning due to the accounting probe.
Technical:
In the Point & Figure, $29 is a major resistance and I don't see any sign or reasons that DELL is going to break through.