Deflation probability spikes

Playing around with the St Louis Fred data revealed:

fredgraph.jpg


From the site: "This series measures the probability that the personal consumption
expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month changes)
over the next 12 months will fall below zero."

Now look at the current reading of the deflator:

fredgraph.jpg


Now who can make a case for raising interest rates?
 
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