I pretty much agree with your assesement. EURO is due for a bounce. There's a bunch of data coming out in the morning that should clarify things. My tendency in these situations is to sit on the sidelines waiting for further clarification, which is what I'm doing now. One of the disadvatages is that I tend to miss out on the initial phase of a "move", but I'm a fairly conservative trader and would rather be late and right (Possibly missing out on some good initial Pips), than early and wrong.
Anyhow, thanks all for your observations. It'll be an interesting next few days...