Originally posted by Pabst
In the last 3 1/2 years I can think of at least 3 times that Spoo's have rallied around 50 pts without really trading.(all on surprise rate cuts)If any of you remember the 10/98 Asia crisis, Dow futures rallied like 400 pts in a couple of minutes. If the markets were hit with horror news i.e. an assassination, or new terror the associated meltdown could blow out many on "20 pt." margins, many undercapped FCM's, and dare I say a few 10x prop firms.
Hope it never happens, but like all bad things it probably will.
Pabst: great advice! you are right!
In fact, this is another reason why I still would prefer daytrading margins, to keep as little money as possible tied with my broker... of course I wouldn't keep 100% of my trading capital with ANY broker.
Let's do the numbers, let's say I have 100K to play with, broker 1 lets me trade with only 25K what broker 2 asks me the full 100K. Suppose everything else is the same (commish, etc). Then, I go with broker 1, and keep 75K somewhere "safe". So my "worst case scenario" in case of broker failure with broker 1 is a loss of 25K, with broker 2 would be 100%, and I'd be out of the game!!
Of course I wouldn't leverage the full 100K... If that's what you are saying, yes you are 100% right leveraging (say) 50:1 the full trading account is probabilistic suicide.
you can always place a tail-event trade a la Nassim Taleb....