Day Trading Thoughts For Mon. Jan. 12

Quote from stock_trad3r:

A trading range isn't a bad thing. Amazingly despite all this doom and gloom the dow is slightly above the October 10th close three months ago. If you bought DIA at october 10th you would have a solid gain if you include dividends.

From Oct 9th:

Quote from stock_trad3r:

make the selling stop

Nearly all the gains made since October 2002 are gone. The market was flat a few hours ago. Now down 400 points. WTF??? 7 consecutive down days. All of them triple digits losses.

make it stop

please need to stop selling

SEC needs to impose a ban on placing sell orders. And force all shorts to cover any open positions. :mad:

There's more pain just around the corner... The gov't can't save you this time.
 
Quote from erikrkolodny:

but the market is definitely telling me that there seems to be a floor barring something unforeseen as well.


Erik R. Kolodny

People have a way of demonstrating they have nothing to add. Almost everything in the market is unforeseen. If they knew about it, the market would factor it in. Interest rate direction, expectations, economic realities, earnings, etc. etc.

Your statement is like saying that temperatures will rise this afternoon, unless for some reason, they drop.

Seriously...
 
Very fair. What I meant re the .the 'unforeseen' part is something like a terrorist act. I did not phrase it well at all.

However, I do not appreciate the "people have a way of demonstrating they have nothing to add." I've been doing this a long time and writing a long time as well; I am simply trying to help people much less better define my own thinking for the trading day ahead. I type as fast as I can so I am going to have poor lexicon every now and again.

In any case, your point was very well taken and I am sorry.



Quote from TraderZones:

People have a way of demonstrating they have nothing to add. Almost everything in the market is unforeseen. If they knew about it, the market would factor it in. Interest rate direction, expectations, economic realities, earnings, etc. etc.

Your statement is like saying that temperatures will rise this afternoon, unless for some reason, they drop.

Seriously...
 
Eric,
Just wanted to say that I (and probably most people who take the time to read) appreciate your take on the markets each day. I find your analysis to be very comprehensive and I've gotta say that it helps clarify my own thinking as well. The lists have been helpful as well. So thanks!
 
Quote from erikrkolodny:

Very fair. What I meant re the .the 'unforeseen' part is something like a terrorist act. I did not phrase it well at all.

However, I do not appreciate the "people have a way of demonstrating they have nothing to add." I've been doing this a long time and writing a long time as well; I am simply trying to help people much less better define my own thinking for the trading day ahead. I type as fast as I can so I am going to have poor lexicon every now and again.

In any case, your point was very well taken and I am sorry.

Please ignore TraderZones and StockTrad3r. They are useless trolls.

Great thread so far Erik. Keep up the good work and thanks for your time.
 
The equities market was severely overbought last week. Today I finally got an equalized signal in the advances to declines ratio. I would say, either we're due for the next leg of the run-up, or at least a stabilization/ bounce before the next major move. My personal opinion is that we will start seeing a run-up anticipating the huge stimulus package. The last 3 days washed out most of the speculative excesses.
 
Quote from erikrkolodny:

Very fair. What I meant re the .the 'unforeseen' part is something like a terrorist act. I did not phrase it well at all.

However, I do not appreciate the "people have a way of demonstrating they have nothing to add." I've been doing this a long time and writing a long time as well; I am simply trying to help people much less better define my own thinking for the trading day ahead. I type as fast as I can so I am going to have poor lexicon every now and again.

In any case, your point was very well taken and I am sorry.

your reply is refreshing. ET has a lot of guru wannabes like Hershey who pound on and on with uneducated or uninformed posts, leading newbie traders into the Garden of Confusion. And there are a lot of desperate newbie traders.
 
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