I've finally run through the picks for Tuesday. I cut the list from 45 down to 26. I had to cut out a lot of stocks I'd love to be watching, but one can only comprehend so much.
Part of my trading is to perform a market analysis, before any trading is done. My analysis is purely technical and limited at that. I typically look at the NASDAQ and the S&P 500. There are a butt load more indexes I could be watching, but these 2 are my favorites.
What I see so far is that since 1/3/06 we've broken a slightly down trending market. When I look at the market indices, I look at them in terms of channels, so on 1/3 we broke above that down trending channel. I've been watching for 2 weeks now, both indices have formed a strong uptrend. With last Fridays low, there is now a narrow channel that has formed and we are at it's bottom.
The width of the channels on both indices are narrow, as I stated. They look to be too narrow to me which means that the market could correct downward a bit - below 2300/1280. The slope of trend seems unnaturally high. The angle of the slope should relax a bit too - may 15 degrees or so based on previous trends.
OBSERVATION: bottom of a narrow uptrending channel. If we break below 2303/nasdaq or 1282/s&p, caution must be taken due to changing boundary conditions of the channels. I'm still very Bullish, so I'll still be trying to use 100-200% of my trading capital for any position I enter.
I checked the futures markets and they are reading negative at this moment, although Tuesday is still far away (could easily go positive). Earnings season next week. I'll be watching for the first few to roll in to get a feel for their impact.