Day & Night trading Derivatives Futures

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ok. the storm is here. time to wake up.

Time to set target profit far far away.

1. US index futures, Nikkei, crude oil went down first

2. If you missed the above signals, there is 2nd chance;

Subsequently MSCI Sgp, Taiwan index, hangseng, India Nifty went down.

3. If you missed the above signals, there is 3rd chance;
Subsequently Thailand SET went down.

4. any 4th chance?
...


Interestingly China A50 hardly moves.
Perhaps traders have confidence in their covid plan.


most of the time, the market is heartless.
at times, the market can be very kind.
 
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continue ....

4. If you missed all the above 1 2 and 3 signals,
there is 4th chance.

Subsequently, Eur and US index futures went down massively
Look at CAC40; those investors were very desperate to dispose of it.
DAX, FESX investors were able to dispose of it much earlier during the today Asian session


5. any 5th chance?
Yesterday the Americans were busily celebrating the Thanksgiving holiday.
ended up hardly anyone traded.
I guess they should be trading later.
 
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Most likely by end of today
there will be
>100 good signals
> 200 to 400 fake signals.

how to trade?

- trade with reduced quantity due to the number of fake signals
- use market order or stop order for entry. cannot use limit order
- select futures that move decisively, not choppily


I have been trading nonstop since breakfast.
today the brokers, traders & computer mouse sellers will be very happy
 
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cont ...

5. ok. there is 5th chance.

crude oil went down first, 25 mins before the US stock market opened.
then US index futures went down 10 mins after the US stock market opened.

this is the time the ladders ought to be compressed.
and we just press
BUY, SELL, FLATTEN and adjust the QUANTITY

almost all index futures went down.
Interestingly Only China A50 didn't go down.
But China Shanghai crude oil (and other crude oils) did go down.

such a massive storm gives lots of trading opportunities
(plus lots of landmines) occurs rarely.

it seems like no one needs to tap into their oil reserves.

OK. I have earned enough already.

What is going to happen next Monday?
absolutely no idea other than the fact that there wouldn't be
another massive storm.
 
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26 Nov

Post mortem / hindsight analysis / reverse engineering

I wanted to do it for crude oil but there were too many
good and bad signals.
So I did it for ES.

arrow with F - failed/ fake signal

arrow with SO - stopped out

es.png
 
Let me see if MBT micro BTC futures is suitable for day trading or not.

yesterday volume - 30k (still not big enough)

1 tick = 5 points
volume chart - use 40V
stop-loss - use 50 ticks (quite big actually)
bid-offer spread - it is still horrific at tens of ticks
# of good signals on 29 Nov - only 2 (but one of the signals is not obvious)

conclusion :
MBT still no good for day trading.
there are many other easier-to-trade futures.
in fact, trading crude oil is 1000 times better than trading MBT.
bye bye MBT.
 
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