Day In, Day Out

Assuming I can take action 15 minutes before market close, and I can get the close print.

ACE - buy 400 at 32, stop 31.6, target EOD.
AAI - buy 800 at 13.61, stop 13.3, target 14.2.
AMZN - buy 200 at 46.7, stop 45.9, target 47.8.
BSC - buy 150 at 71.1, stop 69.6, target 75.
AMGN - buy 200 at 66.5, stop 65.4, target 69.
CDWC - short 200 if move/gap below 50.95.
ESRX - if gap above 65.65, buy 200.
FD - bought 250 at 44.44 (assumption), stop 43.6, target EOD.
FITB - buy 200 at 58.5, stop 57.8, target 60.
 
FDRY - buy 600 at 19.25, stop 18.8 target EOD.
GILD - buy 200 at 66.6, stop 65, target 70.
HPQ - bought 500 at 20.2 (assumption) stop 19.75, target EOD.
IACI - short 300 at 36.58 (assumption) stop 27.2, target 35.
LRCX - short 400 at 25.35 (assumption) stop 26.2, target 23.5
LEN - short 200 at 68, stop 68.6, target 64.6.
MERQ - buy 250 at 43.85, stop 43.4, target EOD.
MWD - bought 200 at 50 (assumption), stop 48.6, target EOD.
NSC - buy 500 at 19.1, stop 18,7, target EOD.
RDC - short 400 at 25 (assumption), stop 25.6, target 24.1.

Real Money Trades - Drawn to a meeting 3:40PM, just now see HAL is at 24.5 ! What a nasty rinse. NBR is stoped out at 39.4.
 
SBUX bought 400 at 27.9 (Aug 29th)), out at today close 29 +$520
ACE shorted 400 at 32.1 (Aug 29th), stopout at 32.6 -$230
TGT bought 250 at 40.4 (Aug 29th), out at today close 41.5 +$250
NSC bought 500 at 19.2 (previous day), now at 19.6 (+$200) keep

AMZN bought 200 at 46.7, stopout 45.9 -$190
AMGN bought 200 at 66.5, keep (~$0) keep
FD bought 200 at 44.44, keep (~$0) keep
FITB bought 200 at 58.5, now at 58.95 (+$90) keep
GILD bought 200 at 66.6, stopout 65 -$350
HPQ bought 500 at 20.2, now 20.64, (+$220) keep
IACI shorted 300 at 36.58, reached target 35 +$450
LRCX shorted 400 at 25.35, now 25.05 (+$120) keep
LEN shorted 200 at 68, stopout 68.6 -$150
MWD bought 200 at 50, now 49, (-$200) keep
RDC long from last day, shorted today ? ! consider it closed.

There are still 20 September 31 QQQ Put option bought at $300, keep.

(As Aug 28th)
Total Paper P/L: +$1075

Total Money P/L: +$380

So the new total is (to be continued)
 
Realized Paper P/L: +$1375 (commision included as $30 for a round trip)

Unrealized Paper P/L: +$430 (commision not included)

Realized Money P/L: +$140

Unrealized Money P/L: +$225

Open Paper Postions -
NSC bought 500 at 19.2 (previous day), now at 19.6 (+$200) keep

AMGN bought 200 at 66.5, keep (~$0) keep
FD bought 200 at 44.44, keep (~$0) keep
FITB bought 200 at 58.5, now at 58.95 (+$90) keep
HPQ bought 500 at 20.2, now 20.64, (+$220) keep
LRCX shorted 400 at 25.35, now 25.05 (+$120) keep
MWD bought 200 at 50, now 49, (-$200) keep

20 Sep 31 QQQ Put option bought at $300, keep


Open Money Positions -
HAL bought 500 at 24.15 now at 24.6.
LEN bought 150 at 69.5 now at 69.6.
 
There are a number of setups (all common sense stuff) I consider after market close, one of which I have to decide right before the market close, for example today's LEN buy. I only search for setups upon a limited number of stocks I pre-selected as "good stock", of which the charts I understand. Then I determine the entry, the stop-loss, the target which if hit I exit. The size is $9,000 to $12,000, round to the 100s shares. At market close I review the entered positions if they have not stopped-out or reached target, basically let the winner run untill it seems to have stalled.

If the candidate list is too skewed to one side and/or market is at very overbought/oversold situation, I will buy QQQ out-of-money option to balance it on the dollar amount level. Crazy things do happen.

The idea is that small win/loss cancelled out, a few can run multiple days (3 - 5, 6 days) and deliver a good return.

I have backtested a few dozen randomly selected sessions across last several years. Each session I typicall can have a basket of 15 candidates from my 40 good-guy stock list. Among the 15 candidates, average 10 get the entry, at end of day, a couple stop out, a couple target out, and I close a few after the review at market close, and let the rest run another day with new, or old (most of time) stop/target prices.

The win/loss ration is a bit less than 2:1.

One time one position drawdown can be as large as -$1000, (the largest one).

One time one day drawdown: about -$500.

Average session gain: a couple of thousands.

By session I mean the positions I entered in the same day, some positions may run a few days.

The strategy is suitable for a $100,000 account, with 4:1 overnight margin. With a smaller account like the one I have, the statistics takes a long time to play out, a few bad lucks can ruin the whole thing. But I can only play with the cards dealt to me, so be it.

So far so good on both realtime paper trades and money trades.

Disclaimer: please do not do things or not-do things just based on my posts.
 
After taking a closer look, should have closed a few more paper positions and made adjustments, my paper trades are made under the assumption that I can take action right before market close:

NSC - out at 9/3 close at 19.6 +$170
AMGN - out at 9/3 close 66.3 -$70
FITB - out at 9/3 close 58.83 +$30
MWD - out at 9/3 close 48.94 -$230

FD - bought 200 at 44.44, new stop 44.1 target EOD.
HPQ - bought 500 at 20.2, new stop 20.15, target 20.9.
LRCX - shorted 400 at 25.35, new stop 26.15, target 23.5.

Money Position:
HAL - (should have closed) sell asap.
LEN - stop 67.2, keep.

Realized Paper P/L: +$1275 (commision included as $30 for a round trip)

Unrealized Paper P/L: +$340 (commision not included)

============================

Plan for 9/4

ACE - shorted 300 at 32.30 (assumption), stop 32.75, target EOD.
AMZN - short 200 at 46.7, stop 47.8, target 44.
AMGN - short 200 at 66.5, stop 68, target EOD.
CDWC - bought 200 at 52.1 (assumption), stop 51.6, target 53.9.
CHK - shorted 1000 at 10.68 (assumption), stop 11, target 10.
DELL - buy 300 at 33.4, stop 32.9, target 33.95.
DLTR - shorted 300 at 38.33 (assumption), stop 39.5, target 36.5.
ESRX - short 200 at 61.4, stop 61.7, target 59.5.
FDRY - buy 600 at 19.2, stop 18.7, target 20.5.
GILD - shorted 200 at 65.63 (assumption), stop 66.7, target 63.5.
IACI - shorted 300 at 35.24 (assumption), stop 36.8, target EOD.
LLTC - short 250 at 40.5, stop 41.5, target 37.
MRVL - short 250 at 42, stop 42.6, target 39.
MWD - if move/gap below 48.6, short 200, stop 49, target 47.6.
NVLS - short 250 at 39.4, stop 40.1, target 37.
PDE - short/long if moves out of (16.95, 17.15), target EOD.
TOL - buy 400 at 30.1, stop 29.7, target 31.8.
YUM - buy 400 at 30, stop 29.6, target 30.5.

keep the 20 Sept-31 QQQ put bought at $300 (paper).
 
Paper Trades -

ACE shorted at 32.3, now at 32.2 ($0) keep
AMZN shorted 200 at 46.7, now 47.4 (-$140) keep
AMGN shorted 200 at 66.5, now 67.2 (-$140) keep
CDWC bought 200 at 52.1, stopout 51.6 -$130
CHK shorted 1000 at 10.68, now at 10.77 (-$100)
DLTR shorted 300 at 38.33, now at 37.8 (+$150) keep
GILD shorted 200 at 65.63, stopout 66.7, -$240
IACI shorted 300 at 35.24, now at 35.4 ($0)
MWD shorted 200 at 48.6, stopout at 49 -$110
NVLS shorted 250 at 39.4, now at 38.85 (+$70) keep
PDE shorted 600 at 16.95, now at 17.05 (-$60)

LRCX shorted 400 at 25.35, now at 25.5. (-$60) keep
HPQ bought 500 at 20.2, now at 20.8 (+$300) keep
FD bought 200 at 44.44, stopout at 44.1 -$90

Money Trades -
Out of HAL 24.53 X500, +$170
Out of LEN 71.32 X 150, +$250
Realized Money P/L: $560

More thinking about open paper positions later.
 
ACE shorted 300 at 32.3, now at 32.5 (-$90), stop 32.75
AMZN shorted 200 at 46.7, now 46.5 (+$40), stop 47.8
AMGN shorted 200 at 66.5, now 67.3 (-$160), stop 68
CHK shorted 1000 at 10.68, now at 10.74 (-$100), stop 11
DLTR shorted 300 at 38.33, now at 36.7 (+$480), stop 39.5
IACI shorted 300 at 35.24, now at 35.84 (-$180), stop 36.8
NVLS shorted 250 at 39.4, now at 39.1 (+$75), stop 40.1
PDE shorted 600 at 16.95, now at 17.05 (-$60), stop 17.35

HPQ bought 500 at 20.2, now at 20.23, out $0, should have gotten out at 20.7 if I had time to look over the chart last night. But to honor the integrity of real time paper trade, have to swallow it.

LRCX shorted 400 at 25.35, stopout at 26.15. -$350

So now the numbers:


Realized Paper P/L: +$355 (commision included as $30 for a round trip)

Unrealized Paper P/L: +$0 (commision not included)

Realized Money Trade P/L: +$560
 
BA short 300 at 37.4, stop 38.05
BSC follow the breakout either way (69.9, 72.55) X 150.
CHK buy 1000 at 10.35, stop 10.15, target EOD.
CHIR buy 200 at 51.5, stop 49, target EOD.
ESRX short 200 at 60, stop 61.2, target EOD.
IACI buy 300 at 35.5, stop 34.6, target 36.8.
MDT short 200 at 48.8, stop 49.4, target 47.9.
NE short 300 at 35.75, stop 36.15, target 34.4.
STT short 250 at 44.4, stop 45.1, target EOD.
TJX short 500 at 21.2, stop 21.6, target EOD.
UIS buy 800 at 12.85, stop 12.7, target 13.25.
UTX short 150 at 78.45, stop 79.7, target EOD.
WB short 250 if breaking 41.7, stop 43, target 40.
WM buy 300 at 37.75, stop 37.45, target 38.3.
 
ACE shorted 300 at 32.3, stopout 32.75, -$160

AMZN shorted 200 at 46.7, now 47.3 (-$120), stop 47.8
CHK shorted 1000 at 10.68, now at 10.75 (-$100), stop 11
IACI shorted 300 at 35.24, now at 36.17 (-$300), stop 36.8

AMGN shorted 200 at 66.5, stopout 68, -$330
DLTR shorted 300 at 38.33, out at close 36.9, +$400
NVLS shorted 250 at 39.4, stopout 40.1, -$200
PDE shorted 600 at 16.95, stopout 17.35, -$-$270

BA shorted 300 at 37.4, now 37 (+$120), target 36.1, stop 38.05
ESRX short 200 at 60, now at 59, stop 61.2, target EOD. (+$200)
MDT short 200 at 48.8, now 48.45 (+($60), stop 49.4, target 47.9.
NE short 300 at 35.75, now 35.89, out at close (-$60)

Realized Paper P/L: -$200 (got to be more dligent even on just paper trades !):mad:

Unrealized Paper P/L: -$200

Money Trade P/L: +$560

Bought 250 TGT at 40 near market close on momentum. stop 38.6, target 41.6.
 
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