Damir's Trading Journal

Beer gut is telling me theres's a lot of shorts out there, and when there all short its time to go long.. anticipating a short squeeze into the close, of course i'd like to be proved wrong within the next 5 minutes
 
that seems to be the buzz on the boards, over last 90 minutes suddenly everybody seems to be looking for a short squeeze. me, i have no idea, i only know at some point it is inevitable i get caught on the wrong side of one of these so i size accordingly.

today may well be the day.

Quote from Kap:

Beer gut is telling me theres's a lot of shorts out there, and when there all short its time to go long.. anticipating a short squeeze into the close, of course i'd like to be proved wrong within the next 5 minutes
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Quote from baggerlord:

Damir, do you trade off some sort of central-tendency or something? No charts or volume, right? Just curious.
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i trade on the premise that very people know how little they know. :-)
 
Quote from damir00:

that seems to be the buzz on the boards, over last 90 minutes suddenly everybody seems to be looking for a short squeeze. me, i have no idea, i only know at some point it is inevitable i get caught on the wrong side of one of these so i size accordingly.

today may well be the day.
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Hey, if they all talking a short sqeeze its time to go short ! :D
 
Quote from damir00:

Short Term (0-2 days)

ticker in entry out exit AccntGain
======================================
YM short 5/02/03 8500 5/05/03 8487 +0.2%
YM short 5/06/03 8575 5/07/03 8544 +0.3%
YM long 5/08/03 8460 5/08/03 8500 +0.3%
YM long 5/08/03 8465 5/08/03 8490 +0.2%
YM short 5/09/03 8545 5/13/03 8640 -0.8%
YM short 5/12/03 8650 5/13/03 8640 +0.1%
YM short 5/15/03 8710 5/15/03 8667 +0.5%
YM short 5/16/03 8715 5/16/03 8675 +0.4%
YM long 5/19/03 8580 5/20/03 8521 -0.5%
YM long 5/19/03 8540 5/20/03 8521 -0.2%
YM long 5/19/03 8470 5/19/03 8484 +0.2%
YM long 5/20/03 8405 5/20/03 8425 +0.2%
YM long 5/21/03 8427 5/21/03 8460 +0.4%
YM short 5/22/03 8565 5/22/03 8580 -0.1%
YM short 5/22/03 8610 5/22/03 8580 +0.3%
YM long 5/27/03 8540 5/27/03 8560 +0.3%
YM short 5/27/03 8695 5/29/03 8694 +0.0%
YM short 5/27/03 8695 5/29/03 8694 +0.0%
YM short 5/27/03 8775 5/29/03 8740 +0.4%
YM short 5/27/03 8775 5/29/03 8740 +0.4%
YM short 5/28/03 8845 5/28/03 8815 +0.3%
NQ short 5/30/03 1198 5/30/03 1193 +0.2%
NQ short 5/30/03 1198 5/30/03 1194 +0.2%
NQ short 5/30/03 1199 5/30/03 1195 +0.2%
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Hi Damir, have you changed your method since May 03?
 
Quote from damir00:

Total Trades : 40
Winning* Trades : 37
Avg Win Pct** : 0.25%
Losing Trades : 3
Avg Loss Pct** : 0.90%
Total June Gain : 6.7%

all short term trades...

ticker in entry out exit AccntGain
============================================
YM short 6/02/03 8955 6/02/03 8915 +0.5%
NQ short 6/02/03 1214 6/02/03 1210 +0.2%
YM short 6/04/03 8970 6/09/03 8940 +0.4%
NQ short 6/04/03 1211 6/05/03 1207 +0.2%
YM short 6/04/03 9015 6/05/03 8985 +0.4%
YM short 6/06/03 9190 6/06/03 9160 +0.3%
YM short 6/10/03 9040 6/10/03 9020 +0.2%
YM short 6/10/03 9040 6/10/03 9015 +0.2%
YM short 6/10/03 9040 6/10/03 9015 +0.2%
YM short 6/10/03 9040 6/12/03 9190 -1.5% <--- LOSER!!!
NQ short 6/11/03 1219 6/11/03 1216 +0.2%
NQ short 6/11/03 1219 6/11/03 1216 +0.2%
NQ short 6/11/03 1218 6/11/03 1216 +0.2%
NQ short 6/11/03 1218 6/11/03 1216 +0.2%
YM short 6/11/03 9110 6/11/03 9080 +0.3%
YM short 6/11/03 9120 6/13/03 9155 -0.3% <--- LOSER!!!
YM short 6/11/03 9165 6/11/03 9152 +0.2%
YM short 6/11/03 9165 6/11/03 9152 +0.2%
YM short 6/12/03 9230 6/12/03 9200 +0.3%
YM short 6/16/03 9150 6/18/03 9220 -0.9% <--- LOSER!!!
YM short 6/16/03 9220 6/18/03 9220 +0.0%
YM short 6/16/03 9220 6/18/03 9220 +0.0%
YM long 6/18/03 9220 6/18/03 9250 +0.3%
YM long 6/18/03 9230 6/18/03 9250 +0.2%
YM long 6/19/03 9215 6/20/03 9220 +0.0%
YM long 6/19/03 9185 6/20/03 9220 +0.3%
YM long 6/19/03 9145 6/20/03 9220 +0.8%
YM short 6/20/03 9225 6/20/03 9180 +0.5%
YM long 6/23/03 9110 6/23/03 9125 +0.2%
YM long 6/23/03 9090 6/24/03 9090 +0.0%
YM long 6/23/03 9075 6/24/03 9090 +0.2%
YM long 6/23/03 9025 6/23/03 9045 +0.2%
YM long 6/23/03 9025 6/23/03 9045 +0.2%
YM short 6/24/03 9115 6/24/03 9092 +0.3%
YM short 6/25/03 9132 6/25/03 9118 +0.2%
YM short 6/26/03 9030 6/27/03 9030 +0.0%
YM short 6/26/03 9055 6/27/03 9030 +0.3%
YM short 6/30/03 9020 6/30/03 8990 +0.4%
YM short 6/30/03 9010 6/30/03 9010 +0.0%
YM short 6/30/03 9040 6/30/03 9010 +0.4%
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Is your current method same as the June 03 one?
 
Quote from damir00:

it's very close.
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As your losers in these two months were inproportionally higher values (up to few times) than the winners' values, not sure this is a direction to look at for improving profits. Just a thought! :)

You have been doing extremely well!

:mad:
 
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