Daily option strategy

Is there a daily option strategy which makes profit 70% of the time?
And when it has losses , it losses a small amount.

I thought about writing the middle , in a combination of butterflies on puts and calls ,with third butterfly after the price has moved to reduce losses.
 
Unimaginable. Your edge loss exceeds the strike-width. Excelsior!

Spot=1.32280

Long 2 of the 13180/13220/13260 call flies from 15.90
Long 2 of the 13200 calls outright from 53.80
Long 2 of the 13300 calls outright from 5.50
Long 2 of the 13200/13250/13300 put flies from 19.10

Out 50bp in edge. I pray for your family this is sim.
 
Quote from atticus:

Dumbest shit imaginable. Your edge loss exceeds the strike-width. Excelsior!

Long 2 of the 13180/13220/13260 call flies
Long 2 of the 13200 calls outright from 53.80
Long 2 of the 13300 calls outright from 5.50
Long 2 of the 13200/13250/13300 put flies

Out 50bp in edge. I pray for your family this is sim.

I closed 4 middle for a profit , so give me constructive and good advice .I took a directional view , bit amateurish here.

There was little today to volatility to skim the spread.
 

Attachments

Quote from oilfxpro:

I closed 4 middle for a profit , so give me constructive and good advice .

Now you're net long a ton of calls. My advice is stop trading and hire more code-monkeys.
 
Quote from atticus:

Now you're net long a ton of calls. My advice is stop trading and hire more code-monkeys.

My view is the price will close above 1.3220 , and my view seems to give me the profit .
 
Quote from oilfxpro:

I closed 4 middle for a profit , so give me constructive and good advice .I took a directional view , bit amateurish here.

There was little today to volatility to skim the spread.

C'mon man, you can't possibly think that in the last three hours your problem was volatility. You paid a nickel in edge loss on every single, which equates to twenty cents on the flies alone. Add another nickel on the long call at 1.32.

Time for a new nick.
 
Quote from oilfxpro:

I closed 4 middle for a profit , so give me constructive and good advice .I took a directional view , bit amateurish here.

There was little today to volatility to skim the spread.

Now:

Long 2 13180C from 45.40
Long 2 13200C from 53.80
Long 2 13260C from 6.30
Long 2 13300C from 5.5
Long 2 13200/13250/13300 put flies from 19.10

Up $98 USD on the call-fly body offset

You're long 8 calls. Long the put fly neutral to 13250. You're long spot. A lot of spot. You need to short 300k here to get neutral.

If you can't short 300k EUR then cover this crap.
 
Quote from atticus:

Now:

Long 2 13180C from 45.40
Long 2 13200C from 53.80
Long 2 13260C from 6.30
Long 2 13300C from 5.5
Long 2 13200/13250/13300 put flies from 19.10

Up $98 USD on the call-fly body offset

You're long 8 calls. Long the put fly neutral to 13250. You're long spot. A lot of spot. You need to short 300k here to get neutral.

If you can't short 300k EUR then cover this crap.

I put in orders to short at 1.3250 , but price did not get there after closing the short calls
 
You're long 300k spot. Your best close within 1sigma is 1.325 due to the fly. Of course you have a runaway long here. Really a foolish position. It's nuts to deal in flies with IG. Then you add insult to injury in covering your 13220 calls. Why? Because you had a small gain on those? It was your only source of short deltas.
 
Quote from atticus:

You're long 300k spot. Your best close within 1sigma is 1.325 due to the fly. Of course you have a runaway long here. Really a foolish position. It's nuts to deal in flies with IG. Then you add insult to injury in covering your 13220 calls. Why? Because you had a small gain on those? It was your only source of short deltas.

Good point .I shouldn't have covered the 1.3220 calls.

Thanks for point out these points.
 
Back
Top