Daily Journal With New Model (not Technical or FundamentalAnalysis)

deaddog said:
I ran some numbers for you that make more sense than a win loss ratio.

I started with 10K, 2500 for each stock.

If the prediction was for a lower close the next day I sold short.

If the prediction was for a higher close I bought.

I closed and reversed a position when the prediction changed. (So for AMD I sold at the close on Oct 9 , Reversed my position on Oct 15 and Oct 21 and am now short.)

I didn't use stops or profit targets. It kind of looks like if I did the loss would have been greater.

As it turned out if you cashed in tonight you would be down 2.26%.

If you had just bought and held SPY you would only be down 1.19%
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This is a good simulation, let do it a bit longer time zone and see the outcome
 
When you do these predictions do you do them before or after the market closes. If it is done after; the exercise of buying EOD doesn't work.

In that case you would buy at the open and close the position at the end of the day.
 
deaddog said:
When you do these predictions do you do them before or after the market closes. If it is done after; the exercise of buying EOD doesn't work.

In that case you would buy at the open and close the position at the end of the day.
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It is actually done before market close, but i am too busy on my other trading that i can't post this on time. Try to do this before market close next time.
 
galvinlee888 said:
It is actually done before market close, but i am too busy on my other trading that i can't post this on time. Try to do this before market close next time.
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Not a problem. I thought I might have to change when a position was entered.
 
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