Daily Journal With New Model (not Technical or FundamentalAnalysis)

I think he is saying it will go +1 before it goes -1 which are his target and stop. But unfortunately this still does not account for large gaps. Can anyone say "after the close Netflix Earnings"?
If you really worry for large gap, you can use option to leverage this.
A simple ITM or ATM call or put with > 30days to expiration will do the trick
 
If you really worry for large gap, you can use option to leverage this.
A simple ITM or ATM call or put with > 30days to expiration will do the trick

I am not really worried about a large gap, but I think you should be really worried about one.
 
Prediction for 10/12
INTC- close lower. SL/PT = $0.8
AMD- close lower. SL/PT = $1.5
FB - close lower. SL/PT = $8
MSFT - close lower. SL/PT = $3.5


Not a great day, one winner and three losers.

INTC - Win
AMD - Lose
FB - Lose
MSFT - Lose

% of winning = 1/8 = 12.5%
 
10/13 Prediction

INTC - close higher. SL/PT = $0.7
AMD - close lower. SL/PT = $1.4
FB - close higher. SL/PT = $7
MSFT - close lower. SL/PT = $3.1
 
10/13 Prediction

INTC - close higher. SL/PT = $0.7
AMD - close lower. SL/PT = $1.4
FB - close higher. SL/PT = $7
MSFT - close lower. SL/PT = $3.1

Result:
INTC - lose
AMD - win
FB - lose
MSFT = win
Cumulative % of winning = 3/12 = 25%
 
10/14 Prediction:
INTC - close lower. SL/PT = $1.2
AMD - close lower SL/PT = $1.6
FB - close higher SL/PT = $5.5
MSFT - close lower SL/PT = $3.5
 
10/15 Prediction
INTC - close lower. SL/PT = $0.8
AMD - close lower. SL/PT = $1.3
FB - close lower. SL/PT = $7.4
MSFT close lower. SL/PT = $2.3
 
10/15 Prediction
INTC - close lower. SL/PT = $0.8
AMD - close lower. SL/PT = $1.3
FB - close lower. SL/PT = $7.4
MSFT close lower. SL/PT = $2.3

INTC - lose
AMD - lose
FB - Win
MSFT - No change, scratch
Cumulative % of winning = 7/19 = 37%
 
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