what's the view in the forum on euro rate increases for this year? think eur is running into headroom here....and the us rate cuts (q2 contract still showing 70 odd% of rate cut by us fed) is definitely overoptimistic.
Long term trade: short eur/usd at these levels. stop at 1.31, TP at 1.285 50%, 1.29 50%.
Trade is also positive carry, so that will help. My time horizon for this is over the next month - i.e. mid feb should see the view materialise.
ciao!