Quote from zdreg:
the fact remains that if germany overnite had the mark back german industry would immediately have a 20% disadvantage. of course in time the south being the south would fritter it away. as the US will learn no country has ever devalue its way to prosperity.
Quote from hftvol:
again, you are pulling numbers out of your arse without the slightest backup. 20%? Immediate? What means immediate? Sales will plunge 20% immediately? Well by your math that means all German companies will immediately have 20% more buying power to snap up whole countries including your sorry state of affairs. What a moron!!!
Quote from zdreg:
if the euro exchange rate is a mixture of the performance of various economies then a 20% revaluation is not unreasonable. or take the mirror image but you don't understand basic economics if you ask will business drop 20%.
"Well by your math that means all German companies will immediately have 20% more buying power to snap up whole countries including your sorry state of affairs
not necessarily. they will not receive german marks for euros located outside of germany and they might be holding $US.
study price elasticity.
you have a temper. control it.
Quote from Tsing Tao:
I'm pretty sure there is a synthetic DM rate that would remove any guesses to where it would relate in comparison to the USD.
Quote from hftvol:
You mix everything up to mask your ignorance at best and utter lack of understanding of economics at worst. You have never traded professionally at an investment bank, fund house, nor hedge fund, you have never worked as professional analyst anywhere, I highly doubt you even have a CFA designation to at least show you tried to learn economics, YET, you make all those claims. Its also not unreasonable to believe Gold should be trading at way above 2000 given the insane money printing going on around us, yet look where we are, a full 20% below such mark. So, please do not pretend you understand where the Deutsch Mark should be trading at against the dollar, it could be anywhere +-50%.
My point about a sales decrease is supported by evidence, the precise reason for the close relationship between exchange rates and trade balances over the medium to long term.
I called you a moron because you wipe aside any and all evidence, instead you introduce HUNCHES, GUESSES, and IDEAS at best, and mask your stupidity at worst by wiggling and sneaking around ideas. All just guesswork picked up at SeakingAlpha if at all. [/
you have decided on the venue of personal attack because your input is full of holes.
i understand that markets can go to extremes because of people like yourself who are emotional and cannot control themselves. the fact that you attribute words to me which i have never utter shows your state of mind. of course, there is the remote possibility that when it comes to hitting the button you are cold as cucumber while
ET is your place to let off off your frustrations.
you have so far failed to bloody my nose with facts but rely on screaming to support your beliefs.
Quote from zdreg:
Quote from hftvol:
You mix everything up to mask your ignorance at best and utter lack of understanding of economics at worst. You have never traded professionally at an investment bank, fund house, nor hedge fund, you have never worked as professional analyst anywhere, I highly doubt you even have a CFA designation to at least show you tried to learn economics, YET, you make all those claims. Its also not unreasonable to believe Gold should be trading at way above 2000 given the insane money printing going on around us, yet look where we are, a full 20% below such mark. So, please do not pretend you understand where the Deutsch Mark should be trading at against the dollar, it could be anywhere +-50%.
My point about a sales decrease is supported by evidence, the precise reason for the close relationship between exchange rates and trade balances over the medium to long term.
I called you a moron because you wipe aside any and all evidence, instead you introduce HUNCHES, GUESSES, and IDEAS at best, and mask your stupidity at worst by wiggling and sneaking around ideas. All just guesswork picked up at SeakingAlpha if at all. [/
you have decided on the venue of personal attack because your input is full of holes.
i understand that markets can go to extremes because of people like yourself who are emotional and cannot control themselves. the fact that you attribute words to me which i have never utter shows your state of mind. of course, there is the remote possibility that when it comes to hitting the button you are cold as cucumber while
ET is your place to let off off your frustrations.