Current Forecasts - ET Extremists

cdcaveman said:
far from extremist calls there buddy :)
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Considering I sell new contract highs/buy new contract lows when I see volume divergences, I will short Indexes as they going higher and being hedged safeguards I don't blow out my account. I take this approach on most markets making certain extremes based on nine year charts. So I don't know how much more extreme I can get. I have taken up to 23 efforts at finding extremes, and that was in crude oil in 2008.
 
Posted February 5th, 2016 :

S2007S said:
As this market continues to fall the raelte hikes are OFF the table....there are suppose to be about 4 rate hikes this year...I can tell you now any further decline in the markets along with more central bankers taking rates NEGATIVE around the world and you can just forget about any further rate hikes here in the US...job number completely missed and last weeks GDP figure was downright pathetic and you honestly think the economy can handle a 1% fed funds rate ha-ha......yes I did say no rate hike in 2015 but the fed had to make that move in December to show the markets they haven't lost their backbone however that was just a simple game...everyone knows they are bluffing about future rate hikes....the economy is worthless and even a fed funds rate at .50% or 1% will destroy any growth prospects that are left....now just sit back and wait for those NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES to come because when they do its going to be quite a show especially with more QE 4......the fed is designed to prop up stock markets and nothing else...a falling market and all they do is rig the rates and pour trillions into the economy to keep it sustained. Yep economics 101...hahah..
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Nine_Ender said:
Might as well keep some of these recent forecasts in one spot. SPX at 1938 today.

S2007S - US equities drop 30-40% across the board.
- 0% fed rate for 20 years; negative rates within a year.
Nitro - $15,000 US per ounce Gold
- "Vaporized" $US
JSP326 - US equities correct 50%+ across the board.
ZDReg - Complete $US collapse.
I960 - US goes into "deep recession".

Any new forecasts are welcome; always a chance one of these hero calls somehow comes true, just not a good chance next 2-3 years in my opinion.
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I had no idea this thread was started with me being in the first mention...I'm quite honored ...I did say 30-40% drop for US equities...that will come quick.
 
Another cheery forecast from the resident ET pessimist on March 17, 2016 :

S2007S said:
Exactly... Why do you think they were doing that about a month ago....yellen is lying. She knows negative rates are coming. I'm telling wait until the markets go into bear mode and are down 20%+ all rate hikes will be completely eliminated and negative rates will be here so fast the market will have no idea it's coming.
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This one will be easy to track. Yellen is on record for a series of gradual interest rate hikes over several years; her message in 2015 led to the projected hike in late 2015.
 
Posted September 2016 :

propwarrior said:
Guys, obviously today we have seen the biggest drop in US equities since Brexit day. The firing gun has sounded. As it sinks in that Trump will walk this election we are going to see a correction. The only thing that will stop it imo will be global coordinated QE. The tide has turned, this is about much more than trump.

They will try and stop him getting in the whitehouse, luckily you have some good people protecting him. expect fireworks. Personally I think Hillary may have to pull out and Obama may try and hold on.

Be careful out there, this time it's real. Minimum 50% off equities, fixed income liquidty problems ahead. Buy physical commodities.

GL
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Guy is dead certain US equities will drop minimum 50% across the board. Guess we'll see. Similar "imminent" calls from S2007S throughout 2015 are getting rather worn out. S2007S claimed 18 months ago that negative interest rates were coming ... .
 
A blast from the past ( December 2010 ) :

Handle123 said:
I agree, we all have opinions and until proven right or wrong, they remain opinions.

Actually, the older you are, the more of life you have experienced and the more you don't read or watch TV's news. You go into history books and research about world economies.

I totally agree with EMRGLOBAL, I mean, I can't possible see why anyone would disagree unless they are disillusioned and uneducated to history.

........

Since most don't have charts going back to beginning of Wall Street, you are unaware of sideways action of the 1966 to 1973, 1976 to 1983, or the high in 1937 was not broken to upside till late 1945. Starting in late 1966 till 1983, any time DJIA got a little above 1000, it was pounded down, sideways action can be more than ten years.

The stock market will eventually drop and it will be massive, you just can't keep printing money. I fully expect unemployment to get to over 20%, Prime will go above 20% as well.

One of the sharpest guys around is Jim Rogers, he is so good at calls.
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The above posts references EMRGLOBAL's stated opinion from February 2009, as follows :

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" IMHO, no rally in sight for a Decade, plenty of reasons. Main one is loss of confidence, which will not return for a decade at least.

Loss of wealth from the Middle Class, who will not have much to pump into the markets.

Cash is the new king, period. Play's in Hard Assets are more likley this decade than stocks. We know Inflation is on the horizon.

Nationalizatio of Banks sends a signal to the New Administrations Socialism. Not good for "Stocks".

The media, president keep hammering the "DEPRESSION", non stop. They have yet to speak of hope.

So, in a nutshell....I think this market INDU S&P, NAS., will drift to put in lower lows and once it finds a "bottom" will trend sideways for a decade. "

--------

Long enough now to examine the "early" results.

Obviously, neither poster had a good read on where things were going, and the first poster seemed to think anyone disagreeing with him was "uneducated" and "delusional". Man, was he wrong.
 
Nine_Ender said:
A blast from the past ( December 2010 ) :



The above posts references EMRGLOBAL's stated opinion from February 2009, as follows :

--------

" IMHO, no rally in sight for a Decade, plenty of reasons. Main one is loss of confidence, which will not return for a decade at least.

Loss of wealth from the Middle Class, who will not have much to pump into the markets.

Cash is the new king, period. Play's in Hard Assets are more likley this decade than stocks. We know Inflation is on the horizon.

Nationalizatio of Banks sends a signal to the New Administrations Socialism. Not good for "Stocks".

The media, president keep hammering the "DEPRESSION", non stop. They have yet to speak of hope.

So, in a nutshell....I think this market INDU S&P, NAS., will drift to put in lower lows and once it finds a "bottom" will trend sideways for a decade. "

--------

Long enough now to examine the "early" results.

Obviously, neither poster had a good read on where things were going, and the first poster seemed to think anyone disagreeing with him was "uneducated" and "delusional". Man, was he wrong.
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Thank you, Thank you, Thank you for going back six years? Earlier in year I had posted we would see new highs in Indexes, but few if any have posted those advanced signals worked, and I am short from the highs again and added on to shorts in Indexes as my system does so at extremes. I am in process of reducing real estate and business holdings as I still believe in handful of years World economies will be much worse. I guess the Trillions USA owes makes sense to many of you. When interest rates goes up, going to have to borrow more to just pay the the interest.

The decade isn't over...yet. I hope my system off as far as depth S&P500 declines, but I have always followed it for investments that are harder to sell. Always best to unload when there are those who think other than me, which is usually the majority, thank goodness.

Oct 2014 is when Transportation index peaked out, so when S&P500 made new highs recently, Transports could not.

http://finance.yahoo.com/chart/^DJT...pbmVDb2xvciI6IiM0NWUzZmYiLCJyYW5nZSI6Im1heCJ9

Jim Rogers is generally early in his predictions.

http://search.aol.com/aol/video?q=J...t_btest1-g&v_t=comsearch-hyplogusaolp00000092

WOW, if you had to go back six years, LOL
Am going into farming and cattle in two years.
 
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