Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

Re-entered long btc perp futures @ $16,833 (wide) stop loss @ $16,480

Closed btc perp futures long position @ $16,931

Looking to re-enter

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Long btc perp futures @$16,957 no stop loss, liquidation of collateral method

est liquidation price $15,955

This is a sleep-over position so I withdrew all the collateral crypto assets and only left 10,000 USDT

Bitcoins are being withdrawn at a fast pace from all the exchanges as people learned the lessons of the FTX blowup... imo, bitcoin will rally to over $20K due to supply shortage, soon(TM)

nfa

upload_2022-11-15_20-15-25.png
 
Long btc perp futures @$16,957 no stop loss, liquidation of collateral method

est liquidation price $15,955

This is a sleep-over position so I withdrew all the collateral crypto assets and only left 10,000 USDT

Bitcoins are being withdrawn at a fast pace from all the exchanges as people learned the lessons of the FTX blowup... imo, bitcoin will rally to over $20K due to supply shortage, soon(TM)

nfa

View attachment 299594

Bad trading habits are hard to root out. No SL, liquidation of collateral is a hard lesson that creates trading ptsd. If you are getting stopped out frequently with large losses it means that there is more to learn about trading. FOMO is a beast to tame, most retail goes for momentum strategies and refuse to invest the necessary asset of time to learn tradecraft.

ymmv
 
Long btc perp futures @$16,957 no stop loss, liquidation of collateral method

est liquidation price $15,955

Update on the position, not a good morning, one of the bad news I heard is Genesis crypto lending shutting down. Still holding the position until I find what I think would be a better trade

This next trade would be biased to be a short crypto trade, if I make it

upload_2022-11-16_9-18-42.png
 
Bad trading habits are hard to root out. No SL, liquidation of collateral is a hard lesson that creates trading ptsd. If you are getting stopped out frequently with large losses it means that there is more to learn about trading. FOMO is a beast to tame, most retail goes for momentum strategies and refuse to invest the necessary asset of time to learn tradecraft.

ymmv


Yea, this is true. I already blew up my perp futures trading account within a month when I started

My stop loss is manual and during the day, it's easy for me, but at night, I feel better if I have some control on the loss. A stop loss would do this

A limited collateral exposure is better imho

This is because the crypto assets are withdrawn from the trading platform and in to the local wallet

Wrt to holding a position overnight or multiple nights, this is a better trading strategy for me

It's a higher risk strategy as proven when I blew up my trading account but the rewards are also higher as proven when I held the FTT short position multiple nights
 
Update on the position, not a good morning, one of the bad news I heard is Genesis crypto lending shutting down. Still holding the position until I find what I think would be a better trade

Update on the position, no changes. Continuing to hold overnight

I'm thinking of adding an additional 5000 USDT to the collateral before I go to sleep...

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Update on the position, no changes. Continuing to hold overnight

[Did not add the additional 5000 USDT collateral]

Update on the btc perp futures long position. Continue to hold and re-assess if btc goes above $20K

Volatile day on the position value today, started in the morning at negative $5K, went up to positive $400 a few of hours ago, then now negative again

Collateral still 10,000 USDT and stop loss is full liquidation

upload_2022-11-17_22-50-42.png
 
@johnarb

Have you ever considered scaling up your trading?

All you'd need to do is:
  1. set up a company
  2. create a "safe stable" token
  3. attract a load of gullible [crypto] investors
  4. borrow a few tens of $billions from lenders who don't ask too many questions
  5. and away you go...
 
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