Crypto civil war: Elon vs. Bitcoiners

Coner1980 said:
Hi, anyone can tell when the market will be positive again? Is it possible in near future?
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For 123 days from 20210115 to 20210517 using BTC-USD data from yahoo finance, I created ten genetically-optimized functions to model the close prices (I think the input price times were just before midnight in London).
Code: 
y = 27129.16015625  +  776.614135742188 * x  -  4.87528514862061 * x * x
    +  3878.65161132812 * cos(twopi / 27.8717126808746 * x  +  5.75866985321045)
    +  1730.73413085938 * cos(twopi / 18.185257881792 * x  +  6.05020952224731)
    +  1621.51672363281 * cos(twopi / 35.2888819480955 * x  +  8.97565041668713e-06) ;
y = 26990.6484375  +  780.979431152344 * x  -  4.90301942825317 * x * x
    +  4064.14599609375 * cos(twopi / 28.0650093216463 * x  +  5.88462257385254)
    +  1779.24169921875 * cos(twopi / 34.3248349637699 * x  +  5.89317178726196)
    +  1729.09814453125 * cos(twopi / 18.2185398285009 * x  +  6.10203838348389) ;
y = 27162.5703125  +  773.541687011719 * x  -  4.84463691711426 * x * x
    +  4028.40966796875 * cos(twopi / 28.042165807071 * x  +  5.87620401382446)
    +  1757.27941894531 * cos(twopi / 34.4031389621893 * x  +  5.94523525238037)
    +  1731.18139648438 * cos(twopi / 18.2309004477771 * x  +  6.11719846725464) ;
y = 27041.724609375  +  778.580322265625 * x  -  4.88352680206299 * x * x
    +  4086.70654296875 * cos(twopi / 28.0956625809556 * x  +  5.9065957069397)
    +  1803.634765625 * cos(twopi / 34.2371762874817 * x  +  5.86289215087891)
    +  1728.76403808594 * cos(twopi / 18.2298962899221 * x  +  6.1174693107605) ;
y = 27129.158203125  +  775.021789550781 * x  -  4.85641765594482 * x * x
    +  4023.49389648438 * cos(twopi / 28.0244135607667 * x  +  5.86471700668335)
    +  1739.92980957031 * cos(twopi / 34.3957834902751 * x  +  5.93988847732544)
    +  1731.74096679688 * cos(twopi / 18.22481886869 * x  +  6.10759115219116) ;
y = 27050.384765625  +  778.505981445312 * x  -  4.88413906097412 * x * x
    +  4036.57763671875 * cos(twopi / 28.0412501546224 * x  +  5.86883878707886)
    +  1752.08178710938 * cos(twopi / 34.4271973959661 * x  +  5.94261598587036)
    +  1729.70886230469 * cos(twopi / 18.2184611120507 * x  +  6.10108423233032) ;
y = 27028.001953125  +  779.250793457031 * x  -  4.88928985595703 * x * x
    +  4048.39428710938 * cos(twopi / 28.0445512599216 * x  +  5.87252330780029)
    +  1759.69982910156 * cos(twopi / 34.3786544372439 * x  +  5.92116832733154)
    +  1729.31579589844 * cos(twopi / 18.2193994564096 * x  +  6.10035133361816) ;
y = 26956.435546875  +  782.3525390625 * x  -  4.91309309005737 * x * x
    +  4061.8486328125 * cos(twopi / 28.056772110517 * x  +  5.87940263748169)
    +  1778.49291992188 * cos(twopi / 34.3481935780325 * x  +  5.90047836303711)
    +  1728.22277832031 * cos(twopi / 18.2173859134461 * x  +  6.09882164001465) ;
y = 26939.439453125  +  783.068359375 * x  -  4.91849279403687 * x * x
    +  4070.68774414062 * cos(twopi / 28.0705078436473 * x  +  5.88754749298096)
    +  1784.20251464844 * cos(twopi / 34.3121037336195 * x  +  5.88407850265503)
    +  1729.36328125 * cos(twopi / 18.2137598251196 * x  +  6.09636640548706) ;
y = 27179.302734375  +  774.473815917969 * x  -  4.85865068435669 * x * x
    +  3875.80126953125 * cos(twopi / 27.8732511118077 * x  +  5.7613000869751)
    +  1731.06884765625 * cos(twopi / 18.189547415724 * x  +  6.05675745010376)
    +  1623.21704101562 * cos(twopi / 35.2770518112427 * x  +  6.83088728692383e-06) ;
y is the modeled priced of BTC-USD. x is the number of days since the beginning of the input data. twopi is 6.28318530717959. cos is the cosine function which takes an argument in radians.

The input prices (+ signs) and the ten functions (curves) extrapolated for 21 days are:
upload_2021-5-17_20-30-37.png

They predict the next turning point on about 20210528.
 
I think the Tesla buy into BTC was around 38K, so currently under 33K they are heavily under water. I can't believe they were not smart enough to sell over 50K, specially when he knew he was going to embrace Doge.

Although I wouldn't be surprised if the next quarter's numbers show they did cash out at a profit.
 
Pekelo said:
I think the Tesla buy into BTC was around 38K, so currently under 33K they are heavily under water. I can't believe they were not smart enough to sell over 50K, specially when he knew he was going to embrace Doge.

Although I wouldn't be surprised if the next quarter's numbers show they did cash out at a profit.
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i agree, i don't think Elon is that ignorant, he probably exited around 60K levels.
 
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