Hi,
I believe that Crude Oil needs to go back to 40USD, sooner or later. The problem is that it can take 6 or more months. I also believe it cannot fall bellow 10USD. I am trying to figure out how I can best put this theory into practice...
I have been playing with WisdomTree WTI Crude Oil 2x Daily Leveraged (Loi.L). I bought at 3,15; 3,60 and 4,20 - averaging at 3,90. If the meeting goes well I can see my return earlier than I thought, but if it goes wrong I believe CL will return to 20USD or less and I will need to wait a few months. My concern is that this being a 2X leveraged ETF, even if I am right and at the end of the year Oil is at 40USD I might not see any profit due to the nature of the ETF and the effects of volatility. Is my concern about this ETF justified?
I have at the moment around 10k in Loi.L. How would you play this? Any alternative way to invest in Oil? I don’t like Oil companies because they decline as much as oil when it comes down and do not follow when oil goes up.
Thanks,
Joaquim