https://srsroccoreport.com/middle-east-oil-time-bomb-collapse-of-net-oil-exports/
Since 1975, Middle East net oil exports have only increased by 4 mbd.
The huge drop in the Middle East net oil exports during the early 1980s was temporary, but domestic consumption continued to grow and will become more of a factor in the region as oil production peaks and declines. If we go back and look at the Middle East oil consumption chart above, we will notice that domestic oil demand was not impacted by the global recession in 2008-2010. Interestingly, overall Middle East oil consumption increased by 1 mbd from 2007 to 2010.
So, the real danger for the Middle East will occur when oil production peaks and declines while domestic consumtion continues to increase. This will be a double-edged sword for the Middle Eastern Governments as they will be forced to cut public spending as oil revenues fall.
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