Quote from riskaddict:
Voice your opinion and get short!! I'm liking $60 by March. But then $95 in June (with a stronger dollar?!?). I kinda wish it would go to $120 and cause imaginary inflation, it couldn't be real because wages aren't rising. When it got above 82.30 I knew I should have went long but listening to the damn news messed my head up. But getting short here is how you can get rich take small positions with 3 dollar stops. Risk 3k to make 10k. My new years resolution was to only trade the CL based on what I see on the daily.
Read up on history a bit. As far back as the late 1700s when France was experiencing hyperinflation, wages fell. A couple of reasons: constant "stimulus" in the form of money printing stimulated excess production in many areas of the economy that eventually let to the collapse of industries. That, of course, let to many unemployed people driving the labor wage down. If a major part of your thesis is that inflation can't happen without wages going up, you might want to check that.
