Crazy paper trading day

"It will more than likely keep moving in that direction".

Do you have proper analysis and statistics to back this up?

I can assure you that statement isn't true.

I've done this several time with 6 contracts on Schwab, making $2-3k in an instant.
 
If you wait until after the news release, how is picking red or black? After it starts moving, it will more than likely keep moving in that direction.

I mean hell, just look at today. What happened on today's NFP? A huge spike down in RTH open, followed by this incredible melt-up. Did you sense any reversal to the initial down-trend after RTH open?
 
I mean hell, just look at today. What happened on today's NFP? A huge spike down in RTH open, followed by this incredible melt-up. Did you sense any reversal to the initial down-trend after RTH open?

I have also learned to ignore the first 3-5 minutes because that could be "deleveraging" of people's trades.

Look at where ES was at 8:30am and look at where it ended the day. The price movement was due to one fact only - the 8:30am NFP report.

But I definitely agree with everyone that 100 contracts is ridiculous. But surely more than 6 would be good.
 
You're right... go big or go home! @Overnight is just trying to talk you out of a good thing because he greedily wants to keep all the profits to himself...

I am trying to talk him out of making a mistake. We are seeing ES ranges unheard of with the VIX in a tight range of 20-22. That is bad.

Even AMP got scared about the NFP this morning and temporarily removed day-trading margins before the NFP release, and restored them after. That was quite unusual, because it seemed on the surface just another typical day. But their risk-management system saw something else.
 
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