Crash Monday? SVB contagion, VIX spike

KCalhoun said:
Markets gonna take out covid lows by summer. Bulls r fkd. #gobears. Fed 6.25 by nov, S&P 2250. Btc 8k
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You are one committed bear, but man that is a hell of a ways down in 3 months, I think stocks are still overpriced based on market cap to GDP and new fed policy, but will chop a bit for now.
 
NCC1701 said:
You are one committed bear, but man that is a hell of a ways down in 3 months, I think stocks are still overpriced based on market cap to GDP and new fed policy, but will chop a bit for now.
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Seriously Calhoun is a complete idiot this clown show has been going on for 3 years. He just keeps trotting out his many failed forecasts over and over again hoping to catch something. This business has too many of these guys forecasting huge moves and showing zero accountability when they are wrong.

From April 23, 2022, Calhoun posted :

"I called the November top early on, I am confident we'll get back to March 2020 lows by late summer if not sooner. #gobears"

Sound familiar ?
 
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1eyejackal said:
Well to be honest, you are probably an asset to ET, so that's no bet.

How about 5k?

I actually do have a screen shot, it doesn't show yesterday's date on the phone app (I'm on Android), but it does show the time of 12:59 as I am in PT zone. It does show my p&l for all 3 of the futures contracts (ES, NQ mNQ) trades and a very small stock position too.

Coupled that with screenshots of yesterday's future's P&L, (profits for the 3 of the settlement page)... the numbers match exactly as on my phone screenshot.

That's what I am willing to show, but it's got to cost you some $$$$. Besides, imagine if you are correct in making your assessment of me, I will pay you 5k (or >50k if you want to go portfolio value).

Actually, now that we are in the ballpark and the numbers are revealed, I'll even show that I took this account (an LLC account for tax ppurpose since I went full time trading) from initial investment of 20k in Oct to ~55k today.

Actually, I will even show my separate equities only account, a 100k account opened in June of 2022. The 1099 for that one show's a net profit of >85k, trading just 1.4mm. I'm not as active in that one as much since starting futures. That one I took funds out as needed (86k to date) mostly to help extended family but always maintained at least 100k. Biggest draw down was 12%. It's over 102k as I type.

FWIW, I redeployed 401k on Mar 10th and was hoping mkts go down even further since as you know, it's eod settlement, was in cash equivalent. Advised family members to do same. Have text to prove those communiations.

Maybe I just got lucky in this environment. Maybe my style will not work in a few months. I don't know, don't claim to know. All I know are my defined risks and preferred setups and they have been working very well for ME.

I'm trying to find other like minded people to discuss this, but it seems ET is not the place. I came here to discuss "trading". That's what I saw in the left pane of this site and Ken's was the first post on Sunday. (Btw, I was long that evening too)

Anyhow, you still want to call me out? Warning: I'm definitely not who you thinnk I am.
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Dude, don’t leave.
I’m here to learn, nothing more. (Although this thread in particular has turned into nothing more than entertainment value).
I think you’ve got a lot to offer. I’d be one of those to engage with you, but I don’t think I know enough, not enough experience (trading, vs investing where I have a lot of experience)

so don’t leave. If you have to just block Destriero. (After you take his five grand)
 
Nine_Ender said:
Seriously Calhoun is a complete idiot this clown show has been going on for 3 years. He just keeps trotting out his many failed forecasts over and over again hoping to catch something. This business has too many of these guys forecasting huge moves and showing zero accountability when they are wrong.

From April 23, 2022, Calhoun posted :

"I called the November top early on, I am confident we'll get back to March 2020 lows by late summer if not sooner. #gobears"

Sound familiar ?
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LOL! yeah I see it and weigh accordingly
 
KGTrader4 said:
Dude, don’t leave.
I’m here to learn, nothing more. (Although this thread in particular has turned into nothing more than entertainment value).
I think you’ve got a lot to offer. I’d be one of those to engage with you, but I don’t think I know enough, not enough experience (trading, vs investing where I have a lot of experience)

so don’t leave. If you have to just block Destriero. (After you take his five grand)
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Why don't you cover it with your FEC monies.
 
Contagion caused FED to backpedal on QT just "a bit". A bit short of 50% in one friggen week:-
! 2023 Bank Contagion.png
 
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