Crash is Upon Us

Quote from roctrend:

Quote from roctrend:

thanks again ET for the Best Contrarian indicator , short-term, out there, Love all the Bear Posts on Friday. When you peons, wussies get bullish let me know....post away.
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I don't know why you feel so cocky, you came here and posted after it was up 1%. Its not like you came on Friday evening and said I am going long because all you ET folks are bearish.

You have proved nothing.


The dang indexes are in the same place they were before the fed announcement. They are in the same place they were in March 2005. And just a whisker away from were they were in Feb 2004.

Nasdaq 100 is now in a bear market and 9% below its 200 day moving average.

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This is school, a lesson pal, sit down .... ET is a great s-t indicator as it gets for daytrader not always swing trader....learn...its okay.... I dont predict , but quick question for you, why with so much bear news the S&P made a lower low in cash not futures last week, and close above last week close? And how many stops do you think sit above 1269 Futures? any guess? I just play what I see, Predictions are for losers, those that cant trade....predict for what? Ego? trade price and volume. I lurk and wait for sentiment like AAII and ET Posts, etc. you trade with the Crowd? ha.Resistance 1269 look out if above, will go to 1285 if breaks by few points. 50-200 day shorts. But let's see if 1269 holds first.
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When will watching sentiment become some widely used that it becomes useless, I believe we are close to that. The put/call ratio ain't what it used to be.

Rennick
 
When will watching sentiment become some widely used that it becomes useless, I believe we are close to that. The put/call ratio ain't what it used to be.

Rennick

here

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agree yes. You have to be creative and use a blend of sentiment, not just one or two out there, but its odds and trading with support-resistance and price..... I look for extreme readings only
 
Quote from William Rennick:

When will watching sentiment become some widely used that it becomes useless, I believe we are close to that. The put/call ratio ain't what it used to be.

Rennick
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Trying to monitor sentiment is 40% of my gig. Very tricky business. Believe it or not sentiment was bearish on the May highs. The crowd was right and Pabst who was also bearish got reamed flipping long because he thought his shorts were errantly positioned with the crowd.

And you're right about the P/C. In fact OEX P/C levels have been anything other than contrary......
 
Quote from roctrend:

Quote from roctrend:

thanks again ET for the Best Contrarian indicator , short-term, out there, Love all the Bear Posts on Friday. When you peons, wussies get bullish let me know....post away.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



I don't know why you feel so cocky, you came here and posted after it was up 1%. Its not like you came on Friday evening and said I am going long because all you ET folks are bearish.

You have proved nothing.

The dang indexes are in the same place they were before the fed announcement. They are in the same place they were in March 2005. And just a whisker away from were they were in Feb 2004.

Nasdaq 100 is now in a bear market and 9% below its 200 day moving average.

------------------------------------------------------------

This is school, a lesson pal, sit down .... ET is a great s-t indicator as it gets for daytrader not always swing trader....learn...its okay.... I dont predict , but quick question for you, why with so much bear news the S&P made a lower low in cash not futures last week, and close above last week close? And how many stops do you think sit above 1269 Futures? any guess? I just play what I see, Predictions are for losers, those that cant trade....predict for what? Ego? trade price and volume. I lurk and wait for sentiment like AAII and ET Posts, etc. you trade with the Crowd? ha.Resistance 1269 look out if above, will go to 1285 if breaks by few points. 50-200 day shorts. But let's see if 1269 holds first.
More...


All I focus on is what is happening right now at the hard right edge of my chart. This morning it said go long so I did.

1998-2000 showed me sentiment can stay bullish and bearish longer than most can bear.
 

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Quote from roctrend:

Quote from roctrend:

Predictions are for losers, those that cant trade....predict for what? Ego? trade price and volume. I lurk and wait for sentiment like AAII and ET Posts, etc. you trade with the Crowd? ha.Resistance 1269 look out if above, will go to 1285 if breaks by few points. 50-200 day shorts. But let's see if 1269 holds first.
More...

Hmmm, that sure looks like a prediction to me.
 
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Quote from roctrend:

Quote from roctrend:

Predictions are for losers, those that cant trade....predict for what? Ego? trade price and volume. I lurk and wait for sentiment like AAII and ET Posts, etc. you trade with the Crowd? ha.Resistance 1269 look out if above, will go to 1285 if breaks by few points. 50-200 day shorts. But let's see if 1269 holds first.
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Hmmm, that sure looks like a prediction to me.

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looks like obvious resistance to me.... you can short when gets farther above to me......trading is so easy when no bias day to day.....i am sure trading is tough for you....
 
Quote from roctrend:

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Quote from roctrend:

i am sure trading is tough for you....
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Another prediction with no basis. Keep up the good work!!!
 
The cold hard facts are we have really gone know were, I was looking at the NDX 100 chart it really tells the story. All the yelling all the screaming and for what?

So how much is the SP-500 up over the last two years, how about the Dow?
 

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Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 51


07-21-06 10:05 PM

I also think we are going to get there, but I don't think we will get there next week.

The most likely target on this go around is 1201-1206. Worst case scenario will be 1164-1170. If we drop to the lower number we will get another rally taking us close to 1200.

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this is all i need to post ....your words...getting rocked? Im out by kiddies...pikers, back to lurking and fading you. OUT
 
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