Statistics are made up figures. No difference when they projected Hillary Clinton with a 98% chance of winning the US Presidential elections of November 8, 2016. That is statistics in a nutshell. In there are modern day quacks, it is these so called statisticians being branded as experts. Spare us the nonsense.
Yes, while you ignore the numerator is off by tens of thousands as deaths are under-counted.
Counting of excess deaths over similar time periods is a straight-forward exercise.
Trying to compare it to sampling polls regarding an election is disingenuous.
Statisticians are different than pollsters
We should believe them because the statistics from states fully back their information, and other sources provide the same information. All citing the raw sources where they obtained the information from.
So, you are relying on statistics from other states? More utter garbage when, those figures are also, estimates. So, you create more estimates from estimates? Garbage in, garbage out.
Are you stating that the information on the total number of deaths in a state in a particular month is pure nonsense? This information is mandated to be provided by law and is very easy to acquire. Comparing the number of deaths from April 2020 to April 2019 (or any other year) is a very simple exercise.
Comparing the number of deaths from April 2020 to April 2019 (or any other year) is a very simple exercise.