COVID-19

[Tsing Tao]

Wait!? What!?

But, they said France did such a better job and it just set a record for new cases?

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/...france-u-k-raise-specter-second-wave-n1239454

Coronavirus spikes in Spain, France and U.K. raise specter of second wave
Increases are stoking concerns among doctors and policymakers in countries still reeling from the pandemic’s first surge.

PARIS — Cases of the coronavirus are spiking in France, Spain and the United Kingdom even as social distancing restrictions ease, stoking concerns among doctors and policymakers about a “second wave” in countries still reeling from the pandemic’s first wave.

France set a record Friday after health authorities reported 8,975 new cases, far higher than the previous record of 7,578, which the was set March 31 at the height of the pandemic.

This is the fault of Ron DeSantis. That bastard.

 

[gwb-trading]

Wait!? What!?

But, they said France did such a better job and it just set a record for new cases?

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/...france-u-k-raise-specter-second-wave-n1239454

Coronavirus spikes in Spain, France and U.K. raise specter of second wave
Increases are stoking concerns among doctors and policymakers in countries still reeling from the pandemic’s first surge.

PARIS — Cases of the coronavirus are spiking in France, Spain and the United Kingdom even as social distancing restrictions ease, stoking concerns among doctors and policymakers about a “second wave” in countries still reeling from the pandemic’s first wave.

France set a record Friday after health authorities reported 8,975 new cases, far higher than the previous record of 7,578, which the was set March 31 at the height of the pandemic.

You do understand that the current infection rate, cases, and deaths in these countries are still significantly below the U.S. level on a per capita level. However they are wisely concerned and taking actions.

 

[CaptainObvious]

Key model predicts 400,000 coronavirus deaths in US by January
https://thehill.com/policy/healthca...ts-400000-coronavirus-deaths-in-us-by-january

A key forecasting model often cited by experts and used by the White House has revised its prediction of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S., now estimating a peak of 410,451 by Jan. 1.

The model created by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington posted an update Friday predicting an additional 224,000 Americans will die by the beginning of next year.

The model says that as many as 122,000 of those deaths could be avoided with safety measures, including near-universal mask use, but it warns that easing restrictions could cause the death toll to be more than 620,000.

“We all must learn from those leaders of nations where the virus has been contained, or where second waves of infections have occurred, and where swift action has been taken to prevent loss of life,” IHME Director Christopher Murray said in a statement.

Murray warned about governments pursuing herd immunity as a way to expedite the reopening economies.

“This first global forecast represents an opportunity to underscore the problem with herd immunity, which, essentially, ignores science and ethics, and allows millions of avoidable deaths,” Murray said. “It is, quite simply, reprehensible.”

The IHME model is more aggressive in its predictions than some other models. Their update comes just one day after the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention established a new forecast predicting 211,000 U.S. deaths from COVID-19 by Sept. 26.

So there are going to be another two hundred to four hundred thousand dead by years end? We have a supposed 200K dead in 6 1/2 months and we may get double that in the next 3 1/2 months? And this is with all of the current safety protocols in place, mask wearing, social distancing and the like? I'll be kind and call this new model prediction highly unlikely.

 

[gwb-trading]

So there are going to be another two hundred to four hundred thousand dead by years end? We have a supposed 200K dead in 6 1/2 months and we may get double that in the next 3 1/2 months? And this is with all of the current safety protocols in place, mask wearing, social distancing and the like? I'll be kind and call this new model prediction highly unlikely.

They called the model predicting 100,000 deaths by August unlikely.

The reality is that the model has underestimated COVID deaths in the U.S.

 

[Tsing Tao]

So there are going to be another two hundred to four hundred thousand dead by years end? We have a supposed 200K dead in 6 1/2 months and we may get double that in the next 3 1/2 months? And this is with all of the current safety protocols in place, mask wearing, social distancing and the like? I'll be kind and call this new model prediction highly unlikely.

Adaptive modeling, Captain.

You also need to understand the variable that would adjust if Trump weren't in office, and it were Hillary.

 

[CaptainObvious]

They called the model predicting 100,000 deaths by August unlikely.

The reality is that the model has underestimated COVID deaths in the U.S.

They are predicting between 400 and 600K dead by years end. We'll see.

 

[gwb-trading]

They are predicting between 400 and 600K dead by years end. We'll see.

Yeah... I see the most recent estimates. It is very disturbing to see the predictions that the COVID death rate in the U.S. will greatly accelerate in the last 4 months of the year. I was hoping things would be going in the opposite direction.

 

[Cuddles]

Yeah... I see the most recent estimates. It is very disturbing to see the predictions that the COVID death rate in the U.S. will greatly accelerate in the last 4 months of the year. I was hoping things would be going in the opposite direction.

These respiratory illness like the enclosed grouping that cold weather forces us into.

 

[CaptainObvious]

Yeah... I see the most recent estimates. It is very disturbing to see the predictions that the COVID death rate in the U.S. will greatly accelerate in the last 4 months of the year. I was hoping things would be going in the opposite direction.

Things are going in the opposite direction in regard to deaths. We're way down from what it was during the first couple months. Now this model is saying that is going to turn on a dime and accelerate, what's that word? Oh yeah, exponentially. I don't see a single thing going on which would indicate such an accelerated rate of deaths in the coming weeks. What I have seen with every single, we're on the verge of collapse prediction, is it never transpires. Ever since Memorial Day and every event after was supposed to have us seeing some great calamity. Nothing to date, nothing even close.
I'll believe what I actually see and what I see is things improving significantly with treatments, with protocols, with rate of survival when infected, and actual death rate.
All I know is this. Something ain't right about this whole thing and how it's been pushed. A highly infectious respiratory type illness which has no symptoms for over half of those supposed to be infected. Quite Orwellian when we're told, yeah we know you think you're just fine, but trust us, you're not.

 

[WeToddDid2]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1305548218382639109