CoVID-19 Vaccine!!

Don't think, the virus test spots you had it previously, so fail on the 2nd part sorry!

No, the virus test would not, because the virus test tests for the virus. But the antibody test would at least show if you had the thing to begin with!

(That does not mean that you are totally immune to a mutation of it, JUST LIKE THE DAMNED FLU, but it gives you peace of mind.)
 
No, the virus test would not, because the virus test tests for the virus. But the antibody test would at least show if you had the thing to begin with!

(That does not mean that you are totally immune to a mutation of it, JUST LIKE THE DAMNED FLU, but it gives you peace of mind.)

It'll show if you've already had it with or without symptoms and therefore immune and you can't stop worrying about getting it.

99% sure I've had it, Loads of friends with it currently 30% area, be 80% then slow right down soon.
 
I want that antibody test. I think that is the test that now needs to be developed ASAP, so we can reduce the panic levels. Get everyone tested for the antibodies, and find out most everyone in the country has already had the thing. AND to conclude that the COVID tests do not indicate positive on the antibodies.

That would be a pip...If many of these positive cases are simply going positive on the antibody, and not the virus. Whoop!

Yes, 300 million got infected in 3 months. Listen to yourself
 
Yes, 300 million got infected in 3 months. Listen to yourself

Based on 33% per day of growth ( wish my account did that )

after 84days, 100% would have, although it'll slow down at some stage 80% area I'd guess as lack of hosts to find.

0 10.00
1 13.30
2 17.69
3 23.53
4 31.29
5 41.62
6 55.35
7 73.61
8 97.91
9 130.22
10 173.19
11 230.34
12 306.35
13 407.45
14 541.90
15 720.73
16 958.58
17 1,274.91
18 1,695.62
19 2,255.18
20 2,999.39
21 3,989.19
22 5,305.62
23 7,056.47
24 9,385.11
25 12,482.20
26 16,601.32
27 22,079.76
28 29,366.08
29 39,056.88
30 51,945.66
31 69,087.72
32 91,886.67
33 122,209.27
34 162,538.33
35 216,175.98
36 287,514.05
37 382,393.69
38 508,583.61
39 676,416.20
40 899,633.54
41 1,196,512.61
42 1,591,361.77
43 2,116,511.15
44 2,814,959.84
45 3,743,896.58
46 4,979,382.45
47 6,622,578.66
48 8,808,029.62
49 11,714,679.39
50 15,580,523.59
51 20,722,096.38
52 27,560,388.19
53 36,655,316.29
54 48,751,570.66
55 64,839,588.98
56 86,236,653.35
57 114,694,748.95
58 152,544,016.10
59 202,883,541.42
60 269,835,110.08
61 358,880,696.41
62 477,311,326.23
63 634,824,063.88
64 844,316,004.96
65 1,122,940,286.60
66 1,493,510,581.18
67 1,986,369,072.97
68 2,641,870,867.05
69 3,513,688,253.17
70 4,673,205,376.72
71 6,215,363,151.04
72 8,266,432,990.88
73 10,994,355,877.87
74 14,622,493,317.57
75 19,447,916,112.37
76 25,865,728,429.45
77 34,401,418,811.17
78 45,753,887,018.86
79 60,852,669,735.08
80 80,934,050,747.66
81 107,642,287,494.39
82 143,164,242,367.54
83 190,408,442,348.82
84 253,243,228,323.93


might need 85, but you get the point.
 
Based on 33% per day of growth ( wish my account did that )

after 84days, 100% would have, although it'll slow down at some stage 80% area I'd guess as lack of hosts to find.

0 10.00
1 13.30
2 17.69
3 23.53
4 31.29
5 41.62
6 55.35
7 73.61
8 97.91
9 130.22
10 173.19
11 230.34
12 306.35
13 407.45
14 541.90
15 720.73
16 958.58
17 1,274.91
18 1,695.62
19 2,255.18
20 2,999.39
21 3,989.19
22 5,305.62
23 7,056.47
24 9,385.11
25 12,482.20
26 16,601.32
27 22,079.76
28 29,366.08
29 39,056.88
30 51,945.66
31 69,087.72
32 91,886.67
33 122,209.27
34 162,538.33
35 216,175.98
36 287,514.05
37 382,393.69
38 508,583.61
39 676,416.20
40 899,633.54
41 1,196,512.61
42 1,591,361.77
43 2,116,511.15
44 2,814,959.84
45 3,743,896.58
46 4,979,382.45
47 6,622,578.66
48 8,808,029.62
49 11,714,679.39
50 15,580,523.59
51 20,722,096.38
52 27,560,388.19
53 36,655,316.29
54 48,751,570.66
55 64,839,588.98
56 86,236,653.35
57 114,694,748.95
58 152,544,016.10
59 202,883,541.42
60 269,835,110.08
61 358,880,696.41
62 477,311,326.23
63 634,824,063.88
64 844,316,004.96
65 1,122,940,286.60
66 1,493,510,581.18
67 1,986,369,072.97
68 2,641,870,867.05
69 3,513,688,253.17
70 4,673,205,376.72
71 6,215,363,151.04
72 8,266,432,990.88
73 10,994,355,877.87
74 14,622,493,317.57
75 19,447,916,112.37
76 25,865,728,429.45
77 34,401,418,811.17
78 45,753,887,018.86
79 60,852,669,735.08
80 80,934,050,747.66
81 107,642,287,494.39
82 143,164,242,367.54
83 190,408,442,348.82
84 253,243,228,323.93


might need 85, but you get the point.

not that simple:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number#Estimation_methods
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology
 
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