Countdown to Horowitz beginning

Tony Stark said:
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Arstechnica.com article on poll reliability on predicting the future:

https://arstechnica.com/science/201...roken-but-they-still-cant-predict-the-future/
 
Tony Stark said:
The Election Came Down to 77,744 Votes in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan (Updated)

Donald Trump owes his victory in the Electoral College to three states he won by the smallest number of votes: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. So it's fair to say that the 2016 presidential election was decided by about 77,000 votes out of than 136 million ballots cast. According to the final tallies, Trump won Pennsylvania by 0.7 percentage points (44,292 votes), Wisconsin by 0.7 points (22,748 votes), Michigan by 0.2 points (10,704 votes). If Clinton had won all three states, she would have won the Electoral College 278 to 260. She fell short in all three, of course, and that's why we are now getting accustomed to the reality of President-elect Donald J. Trump.
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If, if,if. If Hillary had balls she'd have been banging Monica. Right?
 
Tony Stark said:
In 2004,2008 and 2012 polls got The EC and popular vote right.

In 2004,2008,2012 and 2016 polls got the popular vote right and was off by 78,000 votes in The EC in 2016.


Polls were right in the 2018 mid terms as well.Id much rather be on the side of the polls than against them
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Interestingly, Gallup.com composite polling for direction of country has hit multiple year highs under Trump versus the late 2011 and late 2013 lows under the Obama Administration. Attached below:

Edit: Unable to do photo attachments. See Gallup.com or Realclearpolitics.com.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/235739/satisfaction-direction-reaches-year-high.aspx
 
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maximumpossiblesuffering said:
Interestingly, Gallup.com composite polling for direction of country has hit multiple year highs under Trump versus the late 2011 and late 2013 lows under the Obama Administration. Attached below:

Edit: Unable to do photo attachments. See Gallup.com or Realclearpolitics.com.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/235739/satisfaction-direction-reaches-year-high.aspx
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Interestingly,in the history of Gallup.com polling,no president has won re election with a first term approval below 49(Trump is at 40) or disapproval higher than approval (Trumps disapproval is 11 points higher than his approval)
 
maximumpossiblesuffering said:
Interestingly, Gallup.com composite polling for direction of country has hit multiple year highs under Trump versus the late 2011 and late 2013 lows under the Obama Administration. Attached below:

Edit: Unable to do photo attachments. See Gallup.com or Realclearpolitics.com.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/235739/satisfaction-direction-reaches-year-high.aspx
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Yet 2 weeks ago

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/el...-edwards-wins-re-election-blow-trump-n1084236

Democratic Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards wins re-election in blow to Trump
The president had visited the state three times in five weeks to support Republican challenger Eddie Rispone in the runoff.




 
Tony Stark said:
Yet 2 weeks ago

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/el...-edwards-wins-re-election-blow-trump-n1084236

Democratic Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards wins re-election in blow to Trump
The president had visited the state three times in five weeks to support Republican challenger Eddie Rispone in the runoff.




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I’m embarrassed for you because of your weak deflection attempt. Executive level leadership is relevant to direction of country polls, a state election is not.

Try again.
 
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