Coronavirus 2020 and the fall of the CCP

[Buy1Sell2]

I’ve heard conflicting information on whether this virus is 85% or 99% similar genetically to SARS. If it is 99% similar, it suggests to me Novel Coronavirus mutated from SARS. (Facepalm).

I think the point was the patient in question was previously infected and although not completely immune, was still able to keep his virus infection in check. If this is what is actually going on, was it an earlier exposure and infection to SARS years ago or was it an infection, recovery, and reinfection with the Novel Coronavirus?

I agree with you. I don’t understand how this virus can be contained. However, it seems likely Summertime will be a major hinderance to this virus. I heard speculation, actually probably more like hope, that this virus will “Burn out” this Summer and not cause us any further problems.

It will fizzle out by mid April as humidity levels rise.

 

[maximumpossiblesuffering]

WYNN is at $127.... on strong volume.
The markets know....
This thing is gonna peter-out Wallet.
If it was for real, WYNN would be in the $90's or lower.
Trust me. Trust the markets and the powers that be. They know all.

Actually, on 9/11 wasn’t there time to get short after the first plane hit?

I definitely feel what you are saying and almost every time I argue with the market, it leaves me with a lighter wallet.

Edit: On position trades.

 

[Buy1Sell2]

Actually, on 9/11 wasn’t there time to get short after the first plane hit?

I definitely feel what you are saying and almost every time I argue with the market, it leaves me with a lighter wallet.

Edit: On position trades.

Market was already in a significant downtrend well before 9/11

 

[maximumpossiblesuffering]

Let it crash.

I want China at a bigger discount before I buy. Investor protection issues, liquidity challenges, and accounting practices require a favorable PEG rate to interest me. I agree with you on your 10 year or so horizon: China will be the Panda in the room with an economy larger than any other country, including the US.

 

[LacesOut]

WYNN is at $127.... on strong volume.
The markets know....
This thing is gonna peter-out Wallet.
If it was for real, WYNN would be in the $90's or lower.
Trust me. Trust the markets and the powers that be. They know all.

Crude and copper?

 

[vanzandt]

Hummmm, price tells all, eh?
Time will tell.

Market rallies on every whisper, reality or not, gotta get that 30K. Don’t trust this market to make sense, just make money from it.

Oh you are 100% right... and I should have caveated that statement with something like ... "in certain circumstances."
This is one of those though. I mean it can go lower, but the bargain hunters are out there hunting right now. Why waste a good catastrophe right?
China's not going away Wallet. Their economy is on the uptick. Govt controlled uptick. This is a blip. Nothing more, nothing less. It might take a month, it might take 18 months.... but the bitch will be way higher in 10 years. And the percentage move will pale ours in comparison. There's no way it can't.

 

[vanzandt]

Crude and copper?

Both will be depressed for a bit. Unless Trump really starts to look like a shoe-in. Then both will roll bigtime.
He's a known quantity now... markets love that. But we have to get through this flu-bug.
If I had to pick though for the next few months... it would be crude as it moves on Middle East black swans.... and there could certainly be one.
Copper's not going anywhere until we know who the next President will be.

 

[LacesOut]

Both will be depressed for a bit. Unless Trump really starts to look like a shoe-in. Then both will roll bigtime.
He's a known quantity now... markets love that. But we have to get through this flu-bug.
If I had to pick though for the next few months... it would be crude as it moves on Middle East black swans.... and there could certainly be one.
Copper's not going anywhere until we know who the next President will be.

USD should remain strong as the Chinese continue to pump hard. Trend is up and should keep pulling down most commodities.

I’ve already had a number of business trips cancelled by this virus. And more to come...

I know enough about viruses and recombinant DNA tech to be dangerous. And so this one makes me more nervous than the others.

 

[vanzandt]

USD should remain strong as the Chinese continue to pump hard. Trend is up and should keep pulling down most commodities.

I’ve already had a number of business trips cancelled by this virus. And more to come...

I know enough about viruses and recombinant DNA tech to be dangerous. And so this one makes me more nervous than the others.

Well you're light-years ahead of me on bugs then.
Just keep an eye on WYNN. Its a great proxy as these things go. For more obvious reasons than one. It staying up might be due to a ton of new shorts piling on the last week. That certainly happens. But its a very good barometer for what some really smart people (know)think. Lean towards the "know". ;D
Very smart people.

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

I know enough about viruses and recombinant DNA tech to be dangerous. And so this one makes me more nervous than the others.