Corona Virus Death Rate will be about .6% to .7%

[gwb-trading]

https://reason.com/2020/05/24/the-c...a-covid-19-infection-fatality-rate-below-0-3/
The CDC's New 'Best Estimate' Implies a COVID-19 Infection Fatality Rate Below 0.3%
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the current "best estimate" for the fatality rate among Americans with COVID-19 symptoms is 0.4 percent. The CDC also estimates that 35 percent of people infected by the COVID-19 virus never develop symptoms. Those numbers imply that the virus kills less than 0.3 percent of people infected by it—far lower than the infection fatality rates (IFRs) assumed by the alarming projections that drove the initial government response to the epidemic, including broad business closure and stay-at-home orders.

You should realize that the CDC paper provides 5 planning scenarios with different parameters. The CDC website paper does not state the Infection Fatality Rate is 0.3%.

It takes some really twisted media articles to push this fabricated narrative based on the CDC information.

 

[LS1Z28]

You should realize that the CDC paper provides 5 planning scenarios with different parameters. The CDC website paper does not state the Infection Fatality Rate is 0.3%.

It takes some really twisted media articles to push this fabricated narrative based on the CDC information.

The CDC lists 5 different scenarios based off different parameters. You'll see that their 5th scenario is noted as their "Current Best Estimate." This scenario states that 35% of cases are asymptomatic and symptomatic cases have a fatality rate of 0.4%. This equates to an overall infection fatality rate of 0.26%.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html

 

[gwb-trading]

The CDC lists 5 different scenarios based off different parameters. You'll see that their 5th scenario is noted as their "Current Best Estimate." This scenario states that 35% of cases are asymptomatic and symptomatic cases have a fatality rate of 0.4%. This equates to an overall infection fatality rate of 0.26%.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
View attachment 228813

So once again it is just one of 5 Pandemic Planning scenarios. It is not the CDC stating the measured COVID infection fatality rate is actually 0.3%.

 

[LS1Z28]

So once again it is just one of 5 Pandemic Planning scenarios. It is not the CDC stating the measured COVID infection fatality rate is actually 0.3%.

Don't overlook the fact that the parameters for the 5th scenario are based off the CDC's current best estimates. The CDC should have the best COVID-19 data in the world. So their current best infection fatality rate estimates should theoretically be the most accurate in the world.

The data is still quite fluid though. I would assume that the CDC would've had to use antibody testing data for this paper, and some of the early antibody tests have proven to be unreliable. Their estimates will likely change down the road as more accurate data becomes available.

 

[wildchild]

So once again it is just one of 5 Pandemic Planning scenarios. It is not the CDC stating the measured COVID infection fatality rate is actually 0.3%.

Wow, this thread has aged badly for you gwb-trading. You are bad at data analysis and you are a shit trader.

 

[gwb-trading]

Wow, this thread has aged badly for you gwb-trading. You are bad at data analysis and you are a shit trader.

Has not aged at all. Nothing has changed. The CDC released a COVID-19 Planning report with 5 different scenarios. A bunch of people including you seized on the scenario with the lowest infection fatality rate.... in the meantime the range of infection fatality rates run from 0.3% to 0.8% with most realistic estimates being near the high end. The Case Fatality Rate for COVID-19 is clearly above 5% worldwide.

 

[wildchild]

Has not aged at all. Nothing has changed. The CDC released a COVID-19 Planning report with 5 different scenarios. A bunch of people including you seized on the scenario with the lowest infection fatality rate.... in the meantime the range of infection fatality rates run from 0.3% to 0.8% with most realistic estimates being near the high end. The Case Fatality Rate for COVID-19 is clearly above 5% worldwide.

A lot has changed, the 'experts' said the fatality rate was over 3.4% and at the same exact time, Wildchild, used a very small data set and was able to determine the 'experts' were full of shit, and that the fatality rate was between .6% to 7%. No one was predicting a fatality rate of anywhere near .7 when I said it. You are so dense, you go and prove my very point.

Wildchild delivers the hit and GWB-Turding goes down hard on the ice.

 

[gwb-trading]

A lot has changed, the 'experts' said the fatality rate was over 3.4% and at the same exact time, Wildchild, used a very small data set and was able to determine the 'experts' were full of shit, and that the fatality rate was between .6% to 7%. No one was predicting a fatality rate of anywhere near .7 when I said it. You are so dense, you go and prove my very point.

Wildchild delivers the hit and GWB-Turding goes down hard on the ice.

Guess you still failed to learn the difference between CASE FATALITY RATE (above 5% for COVID-19) and INFECTION FATALITY RATE (between 0.3 to 0.8% estimated for COVID-19).

Are you going to ramble on one again improperly comparing the Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19 with the Case Fatality Rate of the seasonal flu --- and then make claims that COVID-19 is not much worse than the flu. I think that all reasonable people recognize this is complete bullshiat by now.

 

[wildchild]

Guess you still failed to learn the difference between CASE FATALITY RATE (above 5% for COVID-19) and INFECTION FATALITY RATE (between 0.3 to 0.8% estimated for COVID-19).

Are you going to ramble on one again improperly comparing the Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19 with the Case Fatality Rate of the season flu --- and then make claims that COVID-19 is not much worse than the flu. I think that all reasonable people recognize this is complete bullshiat by now.

Bye Turd. Maybe you, Al Gore, and Hillary Clinton can set up a zoom call and tell each other how you actually won.

However, Al Gore never became President, Hillary Clinton never became President, and you never came close to winning this argument. You are a shithead, but at least you can sleep well at night knowing that you are not the only shithead.

 

[jem]

For those who wonder if GWB is brain damaged....
Here is proof.

Look at the columns in the CDC chart posted above GWBs post.

Look at the right most column.
Its the current data...
The other 4 scenarios are projections.

The row Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio and its .4%.

Yet moron GWB somehow confuses things by trying to act like others confuse the
confusing IFR and CFR.

He is the fucking moron...
Here the CDC says the Symptomatic Case Fatality Ration is .4%
and he is still trying to pretend the CFR is above 5%.

The CFR per the CDC is SCFR of .4 plus then you add in approximately 35% who are non symptomatic and you have a Case Fatality Rate of .26.

.26 is never going to be 5%.
GWB and FAUCI and all those moron's models were shit from day 1 and we said so.

Guess you still failed to learn the difference between CASE FATALITY RATE (above 5% for COVID-19) and INFECTION FATALITY RATE (between 0.3 to 0.8% estimated for COVID-19).

Are you going to ramble on one again improperly comparing the Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19 with the Case Fatality Rate of the seasonal flu --- and then make claims that COVID-19 is not much worse than the flu. I think that all reasonable people recognize this is complete bullshiat by now.